Football · Japan J-League · 17/10, 07:00
Prediction: JEF Utd Chiba vs Yokohama F-Marinos
Team pages: JEF Utd Chiba · Yokohama F-Marinos
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.96Total
JEF Utd Chiba1.05
Yokohama F-Marinos1.91
1X2
JEF Utd Chiba
Draw
Yokohama F-Marinos
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
JEF Utd Chiba
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Yokohama F-Marinos
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
JEF Utd Chiba
0–2
Yokohama F-Marinos
(2 last)
- JEF Utd Chiba2-3Yokohama F-Marinos
- Yokohama F-Marinos2-0JEF Utd Chiba
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yokohama F-Marinos (rating 1414 vs 1597).
- H2H favours Yokohama F-Marinos: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| JEF Utd Chiba | Yokohama F-Marinos | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.3 | 1.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1 | 1 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.1 | 1.9 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · JEF Utd Chiba 0–0–2 Yokohama F-Marinos
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/26 Japan J-League | JEF Utd Chiba | 2-3 HT 1-0 | Yokohama F-Marinos |
| 14/03/26 Japan J-League | Yokohama F-Marinos | 2-0 HT 0-0 | JEF Utd Chiba |
Standings · Japan J-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 21 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 20 |
| 4 | FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 20 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 19 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 16 |
| 7 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 15 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 13 |
| 9 | Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 13 |
| 10 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 13 |
| 11 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 21 | 12 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 12 |
| 13 | Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 9 |
| 14 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 9 |
| 15 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 8 |
| 16 | Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 7 |
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 6 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 6 |
| 19 | JEF Utd Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 5 |
| 20 | Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | JEF Utd Chiba | Yokohama F-Marinos |
|---|---|---|
| Shimizu S-Pulse | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Tokyo Verdy | 1-1 D | 6-0 W |
| Machida Zelvia | 0-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Kashiwa Reysol | 2-4 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Yokohama F-Marinos (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
JEF Utd Chiba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 06/09 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 02/09 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
2-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 21/08 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
Yokohama F-Marinos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 19/09 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 02/09 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 15/08 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 07/08 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
2-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
3-0 | 6-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in JEF Utd Chiba vs Yokohama F-Marinos?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Yokohama F-Marinos win (56%). Probabilities: JEF Utd Chiba 20%, draw 24%, Yokohama F-Marinos 56%.
How many goals are expected in JEF Utd Chiba vs Yokohama F-Marinos?
The model expects 2.96 goals (JEF Utd Chiba 1.05 · Yokohama F-Marinos 1.91), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in JEF Utd Chiba vs Yokohama F-Marinos?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.