Football · Japan J-League · 17/10, 07:00
Prediction: Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo
Team pages: Tokyo Verdy · FC Tokyo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.37Total
Tokyo Verdy0.82
FC Tokyo1.56
1X2
Tokyo Verdy
Draw
FC Tokyo
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
0-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Tokyo Verdy
0-4-6 (W-D-L)
FC Tokyo
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tokyo Verdy
0–4–2
FC Tokyo
(6 last)
- FC Tokyo2-1Tokyo Verdy
- Tokyo Verdy0-0FC Tokyo
- FC Tokyo1-0Tokyo Verdy
- Tokyo Verdy2-2FC Tokyo
- FC Tokyo0-0Tokyo Verdy
- Tokyo Verdy2-2FC Tokyo
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Tokyo (rating 1443 vs 1609).
- H2H favours FC Tokyo: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tokyo Verdy | FC Tokyo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 2 | 1.7 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.8 | 2.4 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 1.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tokyo Verdy 0–4–2 FC Tokyo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Japan J-League | FC Tokyo | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Tokyo Verdy |
| 22/03/26 Japan J-League | Tokyo Verdy | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Tokyo |
| 15/09/25 Japan J-League | FC Tokyo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Tokyo Verdy |
| 02/04/25 Japan J-League | Tokyo Verdy | 2-2 HT 1-1 | FC Tokyo |
| 17/08/24 Japan J-League | FC Tokyo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tokyo Verdy |
| 13/04/24 Japan J-League | Tokyo Verdy | 2-2 HT 2-0 | FC Tokyo |
Standings · Japan J-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 21 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 20 |
| 4 | FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 20 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 19 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 16 |
| 7 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 15 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 13 |
| 9 | Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 13 |
| 10 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 13 |
| 11 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 21 | 12 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 12 |
| 13 | Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 9 |
| 14 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 9 |
| 15 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 8 |
| 16 | Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 7 |
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 6 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 6 |
| 19 | JEF Utd Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 5 |
| 20 | Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tokyo Verdy | FC Tokyo |
|---|---|---|
| Urawa Red Diamonds | 1-3 L | 3-0 W |
| JEF Utd Chiba | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Vissel Kobe | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Kashima Antlers | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Tokyo (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tokyo Verdy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 06/09 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 02/09 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 14/08 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
0-3 | 0-6 | 6 | 2 | L |
FC Tokyo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 19/09 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 02/09 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 29/08 | V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 21/08 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 15/08 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 08/08 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
1-2 | 1-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Tokyo win (54%). Probabilities: Tokyo Verdy 18%, draw 28%, FC Tokyo 54%.
How many goals are expected in Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo?
The model expects 2.37 goals (Tokyo Verdy 0.82 · FC Tokyo 1.56), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.