Football · Japan J-League · 24/10, 08:00

Prediction: Kashima Antlers vs Kashiwa Reysol

Team pages: Kashima Antlers · Kashiwa Reysol

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.51Total

Kashima Antlers2.12

Kashiwa Reysol1.4

1X2

53% 23% 24%

Kashima Antlers Draw Kashiwa Reysol

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Kashima Antlers 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWLLLDWW

Kashiwa Reysol 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Kashima Antlers 5–1–0 Kashiwa Reysol (6 last)

Kashiwa Reysol0-1Kashima Antlers
Kashima Antlers2-0Kashiwa Reysol
Kashima Antlers3-2Kashiwa Reysol
Kashiwa Reysol1-3Kashima Antlers
Kashima Antlers0-0Kashiwa Reysol
Kashiwa Reysol1-2Kashima Antlers

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kashima Antlers (rating 1589 vs 1536).
H2H favours Kashima Antlers: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kashima Antlers	Kashiwa Reysol
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.6	2.2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.5	2.5 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	1.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.84

Diff.: 1.05 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:12

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.29 → 2.29	Pinn 2.29
X	3.43 → 3.43	Pinn 3.43
2	3.11 → 3.11	Pinn 3.11

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5%

Time*	1	X	2
13:12	2.29	3.43	3.11

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kashima Antlers 5–1–0 Kashiwa Reysol

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 Japan J-League	Kashiwa Reysol	0-1 HT 0-1	Kashima Antlers
21/02/26 Japan J-League	Kashima Antlers	2-0 HT 1-0	Kashiwa Reysol
20/07/25 Japan J-League	Kashima Antlers	3-2 HT 2-1	Kashiwa Reysol
08/03/25 Japan J-League	Kashiwa Reysol	1-3 HT 0-1	Kashima Antlers
21/09/24 Japan J-League	Kashima Antlers	0-0 HT 0-0	Kashiwa Reysol
06/05/24 Japan J-League	Kashiwa Reysol	1-2 HT 0-1	Kashima Antlers

Standings · Japan J-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	10	7	2	1	25	6	23
2	Machida Zelvia	10	7	2	1	25	10	23
3	FC Tokyo	10	7	2	1	21	8	23
4	Vissel Kobe	10	7	1	2	17	9	22
5	Kashiwa Reysol	10	7	0	3	22	17	21
6	Kashima Antlers	10	6	1	3	21	16	19
7	Kawasaki Frontale	10	4	4	2	21	16	16
8	Yokohama F-Marinos	10	4	4	2	13	9	16
9	Urawa Red Diamonds	10	5	0	5	17	21	15
10	Shimizu S-Pulse	10	4	2	4	10	11	14
11	Fagiano Okayama	10	4	1	5	12	15	13
12	Nagoya Grampus	10	4	0	6	12	16	12
13	Cerezo Osaka	10	3	3	4	9	16	12
14	Mito Hollyhock	10	2	3	5	12	14	9
15	V-Varen Nagasaki	10	2	3	5	11	18	9
16	Kyoto Sanga FC	10	2	2	6	11	19	8
17	Avispa Fukuoka	10	2	1	7	11	16	7
18	Gamba Osaka	10	1	4	5	10	18	7
19	JEF Utd Chiba	10	1	3	6	8	19	6
20	Tokyo Verdy	10	0	4	6	4	18	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kashima Antlers	Kashiwa Reysol
V-Varen Nagasaki	2-0 W	4-2 W
Vissel Kobe	1-2 L	4-2 W
Mito Hollyhock	2-4 L	2-1 W
Tokyo Verdy	2-0 W	3-1 W
Nagoya Grampus	2-1 W	1-3 L
Yokohama F-Marinos	4-3 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kashima Antlers

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League	2-0	2-0	2	3	W
09/10	Gamba Osaka Japan J-League	1-0	2-0	1	3	W
19/09	Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League	1-1	3-3	2	4	D
11/09	Vissel Kobe Japan J-League	0-0	1-2	3	3	L
06/09	Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
02/09	Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League	0-2	2-4	4	2	L
29/08	Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
22/08	Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League	1-1	3-2	2	2	W
15/08	Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
07/08	Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League	1-2	4-3	9	1	W

Kashiwa Reysol

WWWWLLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League	1-2	1-3	7	2	L
09/10	Vissel Kobe Japan J-League	1-0	4-2	4	1	W
20/09	Machida Zelvia Japan J-League	0-1	4-2	8	4	W
11/09	Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League	0-2	3-2	5	5	W
06/09	Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
02/09	Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League	0-1	0-2	9	1	L
29/08	Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League	0-0	1-0	6	0	W
21/08	V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League	1-0	4-2	8	1	W
14/08	Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League	1-1	3-1	5	3	W
08/08	Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League	2-0	2-1	1	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kashima Antlers vs Kashiwa Reysol?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kashima Antlers win (53%). Probabilities: Kashima Antlers 53%, draw 23%, Kashiwa Reysol 24%.

How many goals are expected in Kashima Antlers vs Kashiwa Reysol?

The model expects 3.51 goals (Kashima Antlers 2.12 · Kashiwa Reysol 1.4), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Kashima Antlers vs Kashiwa Reysol?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.