Football · Japan J-League · 31/10, 07:00

Prediction: Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus

Team pages: Vissel Kobe · Nagoya Grampus

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.91Total

Vissel Kobe1.91

Nagoya Grampus1

1X2

57% 24% 18%

Vissel Kobe Draw Nagoya Grampus

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Vissel Kobe 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWLWLD

Nagoya Grampus 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Vissel Kobe 4–2–0 Nagoya Grampus (6 last)

Vissel Kobe3-2Nagoya Grampus
Nagoya Grampus0-3Vissel Kobe
Vissel Kobe2-1Nagoya Grampus
Nagoya Grampus2-2Vissel Kobe
Vissel Kobe3-3Nagoya Grampus
Nagoya Grampus0-2Vissel Kobe

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vissel Kobe (rating 1587 vs 1506).
H2H favours Vissel Kobe: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vissel Kobe	Nagoya Grampus
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.9	1.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.2	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.3	1.4 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0	3.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.92

Under 2.751.92

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 07:25

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.85▼	Pinn 1.85
X	3.66 → 3.79▲	Pinn 3.79
2	3.78 → 4.06▲	Pinn 4.06

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.2%

Time*	1	X	2
06:11 +16’	1.90	3.66	3.78
07:12 +13’	1.85▼	3.79▲	4.06▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Vissel Kobe 4–2–0 Nagoya Grampus

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Japan J-League	Vissel Kobe	3-2 HT 1-1	Nagoya Grampus
14/03/26 Japan J-League	Nagoya Grampus	0-3 HT 0-1	Vissel Kobe
15/06/25 Japan J-League	Vissel Kobe	2-1 HT 2-0	Nagoya Grampus
22/02/25 Japan J-League	Nagoya Grampus	2-2 HT 0-0	Vissel Kobe
20/07/24 Japan J-League	Vissel Kobe	3-3 HT 1-1	Nagoya Grampus
03/05/24 Japan J-League	Nagoya Grampus	0-2 HT 0-1	Vissel Kobe

Standings · Japan J-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Machida Zelvia	12	8	3	1	30	10	27
2	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	12	8	2	2	29	10	26
3	Kashiwa Reysol	12	8	1	3	25	19	25
4	FC Tokyo	11	7	3	1	21	8	24
5	Vissel Kobe	12	7	2	3	18	11	23
6	Kashima Antlers	12	6	2	4	25	21	20
7	Kawasaki Frontale	11	5	4	2	23	17	19
8	Yokohama F-Marinos	12	4	6	2	16	12	18
9	Urawa Red Diamonds	11	6	0	5	20	23	18
10	Fagiano Okayama	11	5	1	5	14	15	16
11	Nagoya Grampus	12	4	2	6	14	18	14
12	Shimizu S-Pulse	12	4	2	6	10	20	14
13	Cerezo Osaka	11	3	4	4	10	17	13
14	V-Varen Nagasaki	11	3	3	5	15	18	12
15	Gamba Osaka	12	2	5	5	14	21	11
16	Kyoto Sanga FC	12	2	4	6	15	23	10
17	Mito Hollyhock	11	2	3	6	12	16	9
18	Tokyo Verdy	12	1	5	6	9	21	8
19	Avispa Fukuoka	12	2	1	9	13	21	7
20	JEF Utd Chiba	11	1	3	7	10	22	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vissel Kobe	Nagoya Grampus
Machida Zelvia	0-0 D	1-3 L
Kawasaki Frontale	1-2 L	2-1 W
Fagiano Okayama	3-0 W	2-1 W
Kashiwa Reysol	2-4 L	3-1 W
Gamba Osaka	1-0 W	3-1 W
V-Varen Nagasaki	3-1 W	0-2 L
Cerezo Osaka	1-0 W	1-1 D
Yokohama F-Marinos	0-1 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vissel Kobe

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Machida Zelvia Japan J-League	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
21/10	Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League	0-0	1-2	2	2	L
18/10	Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League	0-0	3-0	8	4	W
09/10	Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League	0-1	2-4	2	1	L
20/09	Gamba Osaka Japan J-League	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
11/09	Kashima Antlers Japan J-League	0-0	2-1	2	3	W
06/09	V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League	2-0	3-1	2	2	W
02/09	Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
29/08	Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
22/08	Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League	0-1	0-1	2	6	L

Nagoya Grampus

WWLLLLWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League	0-1	1-1	7	2	D
21/10	Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
17/10	Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League	2-1	3-1	2	2	W
11/10	Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League	1-1	2-1	6	3	W
19/09	FC Tokyo Japan J-League	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
12/09	V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
06/09	Machida Zelvia Japan J-League	0-1	1-3	6	3	L
02/09	Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League	0-0	0-3	1	3	L
29/08	Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League	1-1	2-1	6	5	W
22/08	Gamba Osaka Japan J-League	1-1	3-1	4	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vissel Kobe win (57%). Probabilities: Vissel Kobe 57%, draw 24%, Nagoya Grampus 18%.

How many goals are expected in Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus?

The model expects 2.91 goals (Vissel Kobe 1.91 · Nagoya Grampus 1), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.