Football · Japan J-League · 01/11, 05:00

Prediction: Yokohama F-Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale

Team pages: Yokohama F-Marinos · Kawasaki Frontale

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

Yokohama F-Marinos1.4

Kawasaki Frontale1.72

1X2

30% 26% 44%

Yokohama F-Marinos Draw Kawasaki Frontale

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Yokohama F-Marinos 3-6-1 (W-D-L)

WLDWDWDDDD

Kawasaki Frontale 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWLWWDLWWW

Head-to-head

Yokohama F-Marinos 2–2–2 Kawasaki Frontale (6 last)

Yokohama F-Marinos1-2Kawasaki Frontale
Kawasaki Frontale0-5Yokohama F-Marinos
Yokohama F-Marinos0-3Kawasaki Frontale
Kawasaki Frontale3-3Yokohama F-Marinos
Kawasaki Frontale1-3Yokohama F-Marinos
Yokohama F-Marinos0-0Kawasaki Frontale

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yokohama F-Marinos 1576 · Kawasaki Frontale 1607

	Yokohama F-Marinos	Draw	Kawasaki Frontale
Our model	31%	26%	44%
Market	30%	26%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Yokohama F-Marinos	Kawasaki Frontale
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.8	2.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.1	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/40/0%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.1	1.4 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	3.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.60

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.76 ★
2	2.15 → 2.15	Pinn 2.19

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.5% Pinnacle margin 4.9%

Time*	1	X	2
04:09 +5’	3.10	3.60	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:17 +240’	3.06	3.77	2.18
16:09 +13’	3.06	3.76▼	2.19▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Yokohama F-Marinos 2–2–2 Kawasaki Frontale

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Japan J-League	Yokohama F-Marinos	1-2 HT 1-1	Kawasaki Frontale
22/03/26 Japan J-League	Kawasaki Frontale	0-5 HT 0-1	Yokohama F-Marinos
13/09/25 Japan J-League	Yokohama F-Marinos	0-3 HT 0-1	Kawasaki Frontale
09/04/25 Japan J-League	Kawasaki Frontale	3-3 HT 1-1	Yokohama F-Marinos
17/08/24 Japan J-League	Kawasaki Frontale	1-3 HT 0-0	Yokohama F-Marinos
03/04/24 Japan J-League	Yokohama F-Marinos	0-0 HT 0-0	Kawasaki Frontale

Standings · Japan J-League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Machida Zelvia	12	8	3	1	30	10	27
2	FC Tokyo	12	8	3	1	27	8	27
3	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	12	8	2	2	29	10	26
4	Kashiwa Reysol	12	8	1	3	25	19	25
5	Vissel Kobe	12	7	2	3	18	11	23
6	Kawasaki Frontale	12	6	4	2	25	18	22
7	Urawa Red Diamonds	12	7	0	5	21	23	21
8	Kashima Antlers	12	6	2	4	25	21	20
9	Yokohama F-Marinos	12	4	6	2	16	12	18
10	Fagiano Okayama	12	5	1	6	15	17	16
11	Nagoya Grampus	12	4	2	6	14	18	14
12	Cerezo Osaka	12	3	5	4	12	19	14
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	12	4	2	6	10	20	14
14	V-Varen Nagasaki	12	3	3	6	15	19	12
15	Gamba Osaka	12	2	5	5	14	21	11
16	Kyoto Sanga FC	12	2	4	6	15	23	10
17	Mito Hollyhock	12	2	3	7	12	22	9
18	Tokyo Verdy	12	1	5	6	9	21	8
19	Avispa Fukuoka	12	2	1	9	13	21	7
20	JEF Utd Chiba	12	1	4	7	12	24	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Yokohama F-Marinos	Kawasaki Frontale
Nagoya Grampus	1-1 D	1-2 L
JEF Utd Chiba	0-0 D	4-2 W
Cerezo Osaka	0-0 D	4-2 W
Mito Hollyhock	2-0 W	1-0 W
Machida Zelvia	1-1 D	1-2 L
Vissel Kobe	1-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 4 D 0 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Yokohama F-Marinos (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yokohama F-Marinos

WLDWDWDDDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
21/10	Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League	1-0	2-2	6	2	D
17/10	JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League	0-0	0-0	6	7	D
10/10	Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
19/09	Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League	1-0	2-0	1	5	W
12/09	Machida Zelvia Japan J-League	1-0	1-1	6	5	D
06/09	Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League	1-0	2-0	3	2	W
02/09	Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
29/08	Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League	1-1	2-3	3	4	L
22/08	Vissel Kobe Japan J-League	1-0	1-0	6	6	W

Kawasaki Frontale

DWLWWDLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League	1-0	2-1	3	3	W
21/10	Vissel Kobe Japan J-League	0-0	2-1	4	2	W
17/10	Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League	2-1	4-2	2	5	W
11/10	Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
19/09	Kashima Antlers Japan J-League	1-1	3-3	3	4	D
12/09	Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
06/09	Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League	1-0	3-1	8	5	W
02/09	Machida Zelvia Japan J-League	0-0	1-2	2	0	L
29/08	JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League	4-2	4-2	5	6	W
22/08	Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League	0-1	1-1	3	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yokohama F-Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kawasaki Frontale win (44%). Probabilities: Yokohama F-Marinos 30%, draw 26%, Kawasaki Frontale 44%.

How many goals are expected in Yokohama F-Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale?

The model expects 3.12 goals (Yokohama F-Marinos 1.4 · Kawasaki Frontale 1.72), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Yokohama F-Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.