Football · Japan J-League · 24/10, 08:00

Prediction: Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia

Team pages: Vissel Kobe · Machida Zelvia

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.47Total

Vissel Kobe1.37

Machida Zelvia1.1

1X2

42% 29% 29%

Vissel Kobe Draw Machida Zelvia

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Vissel Kobe 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WDLWWWWWLW

Machida Zelvia 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWDWWDLWW

Head-to-head

Vissel Kobe 2–1–2 Machida Zelvia (5 last)

Machida Zelvia3-1Vissel Kobe
Machida Zelvia2-0Vissel Kobe
Vissel Kobe1-0Machida Zelvia
Vissel Kobe0-0Machida Zelvia
Machida Zelvia1-2Vissel Kobe

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vissel Kobe	Machida Zelvia
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.9	2.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.1	1.5 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0	2.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.93

Under 2.251.91

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:12

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Pinn 2.40
X	3.17 → 3.17	Pinn 3.17
2	3.15 → 3.15	Pinn 3.15

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5%

Time*	1	X	2
13:12	2.40	3.17	3.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Vissel Kobe 2–1–2 Machida Zelvia

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/11/25 Japan FA Cup	Machida Zelvia	3-1 HT 2-0	Vissel Kobe
10/08/25 Japan J-League	Machida Zelvia	2-0 HT 2-0	Vissel Kobe
20/04/25 Japan J-League	Vissel Kobe	1-0 HT 0-0	Machida Zelvia
26/06/24 Japan J-League	Vissel Kobe	0-0 HT 0-0	Machida Zelvia
13/04/24 Japan J-League	Machida Zelvia	1-2 HT 0-1	Vissel Kobe

Standings · Japan J-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	10	7	2	1	25	6	23
2	Machida Zelvia	10	7	2	1	25	10	23
3	FC Tokyo	10	7	2	1	21	8	23
4	Vissel Kobe	10	7	1	2	17	9	22
5	Kashiwa Reysol	10	7	0	3	22	17	21
6	Kashima Antlers	10	6	1	3	21	16	19
7	Kawasaki Frontale	10	4	4	2	21	16	16
8	Yokohama F-Marinos	10	4	4	2	13	9	16
9	Urawa Red Diamonds	10	5	0	5	17	21	15
10	Shimizu S-Pulse	10	4	2	4	10	11	14
11	Fagiano Okayama	10	4	1	5	12	15	13
12	Nagoya Grampus	10	4	0	6	12	16	12
13	Cerezo Osaka	10	3	3	4	9	16	12
14	Mito Hollyhock	10	2	3	5	12	14	9
15	V-Varen Nagasaki	10	2	3	5	11	18	9
16	Kyoto Sanga FC	10	2	2	6	11	19	8
17	Avispa Fukuoka	10	2	1	7	11	16	7
18	Gamba Osaka	10	1	4	5	10	18	7
19	JEF Utd Chiba	10	1	3	6	8	19	6
20	Tokyo Verdy	10	0	4	6	4	18	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vissel Kobe	Machida Zelvia
Kashiwa Reysol	2-4 L	2-4 L
Yokohama F-Marinos	0-1 L	1-1 D
FC Tokyo	2-2 D	5-1 W
Avispa Fukuoka	1-0 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Machida Zelvia (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vissel Kobe

WDLWWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League	0-0	3-0	8	4	W
09/10	Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League	0-1	2-4	2	1	L
20/09	Gamba Osaka Japan J-League	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
11/09	Kashima Antlers Japan J-League	0-0	2-1	2	3	W
06/09	V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League	2-0	3-1	2	2	W
02/09	Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
29/08	Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
22/08	Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League	0-1	0-1	2	6	L
15/08	FC Tokyo Japan J-League	1-1	2-2	7	0	D
08/08	Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League	1-0	1-0	1	3	W

Machida Zelvia

WWWDWWDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League	1-0	3-0	1	2	W
10/10	Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League	0-0	1-0	10	2	W
20/09	Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League	1-0	2-4	1	4	L
12/09	Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
06/09	Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League	1-0	3-1	2	3	W
02/09	Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League	0-0	2-1	6	0	W
29/08	Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League	1-1	1-1	2	1	D
23/08	Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League	1-1	3-1	1	1	W
15/08	JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League	2-0	4-0	8	3	W
08/08	FC Tokyo Japan J-League	2-1	5-1	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vissel Kobe win (42%). Probabilities: Vissel Kobe 42%, draw 29%, Machida Zelvia 29%.

How many goals are expected in Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia?

The model expects 2.47 goals (Vissel Kobe 1.37 · Machida Zelvia 1.1), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.