Football · Japan J-League · 17/10, 06:00
Prediction: Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka
Team pages: Shimizu S-Pulse · Gamba Osaka
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.7Total
Shimizu S-Pulse1.57
Gamba Osaka1.12
1X2
Shimizu S-Pulse
Draw
Gamba Osaka
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Shimizu S-Pulse
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Gamba Osaka
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shimizu S-Pulse
1–3–2
Gamba Osaka
(6 last)
- Shimizu S-Pulse1-2Gamba Osaka
- Gamba Osaka2-2Shimizu S-Pulse
- Shimizu S-Pulse0-0Gamba Osaka
- Gamba Osaka1-0Shimizu S-Pulse
- Gamba Osaka0-2Shimizu S-Pulse
- Shimizu S-Pulse1-1Gamba Osaka
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Gamba Osaka: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shimizu S-Pulse | Gamba Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.2 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.7 | 1.4 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0.1 | 2.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shimizu S-Pulse 1–3–2 Gamba Osaka
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Japan J-League | Shimizu S-Pulse | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Gamba Osaka |
| 28/02/26 Japan J-League | Gamba Osaka | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Shimizu S-Pulse |
| 15/06/25 Japan J-League | Shimizu S-Pulse | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gamba Osaka |
| 08/03/25 Japan J-League | Gamba Osaka | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Shimizu S-Pulse |
| 14/08/22 Japan J-League | Gamba Osaka | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Shimizu S-Pulse |
| 10/04/22 Japan J-League | Shimizu S-Pulse | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Gamba Osaka |
Standings · Japan J-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 21 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 20 |
| 4 | FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 20 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 19 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 16 |
| 7 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 15 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 13 |
| 9 | Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 13 |
| 10 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 13 |
| 11 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 21 | 12 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 12 |
| 13 | Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 9 |
| 14 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 9 |
| 15 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 8 |
| 16 | Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 7 |
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 6 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 6 |
| 19 | JEF Utd Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 5 |
| 20 | Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shimizu S-Pulse | Gamba Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Mito Hollyhock | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| JEF Utd Chiba | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| FC Tokyo | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Nagoya Grampus | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Shimizu S-Pulse (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shimizu S-Pulse
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 02/09 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 29/08 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 22/08 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 08/08 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
Gamba Osaka
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 02/09 | V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 07/08 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League |
2-1 | 4-3 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shimizu S-Pulse win (47%). Probabilities: Shimizu S-Pulse 47%, draw 27%, Gamba Osaka 26%.
How many goals are expected in Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka?
The model expects 2.7 goals (Shimizu S-Pulse 1.57 · Gamba Osaka 1.12), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.