Football · Japan J-League · 24/10, 07:00
Prediction: Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse
Team pages: Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Shimizu S-Pulse
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.7Total
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1.86
Shimizu S-Pulse0.84
1X2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Draw
Shimizu S-Pulse
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Shimizu S-Pulse
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–3–1
Shimizu S-Pulse
(6 last)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima1-1Shimizu S-Pulse
- Shimizu S-Pulse3-1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima0-0Shimizu S-Pulse
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima3-0Shimizu S-Pulse
- Shimizu S-Pulse1-1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima2-0Shimizu S-Pulse
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sanfrecce Hiroshima (rating 1611 vs 1512).
- H2H favours Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Shimizu S-Pulse | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 0.6 | 1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 7.2 | 2.5 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.4 | 2.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–3–1 Shimizu S-Pulse
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Japan J-League | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Shimizu S-Pulse |
| 22/03/26 Japan J-League | Shimizu S-Pulse | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
| 10/08/25 Japan J-League | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Shimizu S-Pulse |
| 06/08/25 Japan FA Cup | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Shimizu S-Pulse |
| 26/02/25 Japan J-League | Shimizu S-Pulse | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
| 03/09/22 Japan J-League | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Shimizu S-Pulse |
Standings · Japan J-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 6 | 23 |
| 2 | Machida Zelvia | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 23 |
| 3 | FC Tokyo | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 23 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 22 |
| 5 | Kashiwa Reysol | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 21 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 16 | 19 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 16 | 16 |
| 8 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 16 |
| 9 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 15 |
| 10 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 14 |
| 11 | Fagiano Okayama | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 13 |
| 12 | Nagoya Grampus | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 12 |
| 13 | Cerezo Osaka | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 12 |
| 14 | Mito Hollyhock | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 9 |
| 15 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 9 |
| 16 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 8 |
| 17 | Avispa Fukuoka | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 7 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 7 |
| 19 | JEF Utd Chiba | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 6 |
| 20 | Tokyo Verdy | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Shimizu S-Pulse |
|---|---|---|
| Avispa Fukuoka | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Cerezo Osaka | 6-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Nagoya Grampus | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Gamba Osaka | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Kawasaki Frontale | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| JEF Utd Chiba | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 11/10 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 16 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
3-0 | 6-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 02/09 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
Shimizu S-Pulse
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 11/10 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 02/09 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 29/08 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 22/08 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 08/08 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win (61%). Probabilities: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 61%, draw 24%, Shimizu S-Pulse 15%.
How many goals are expected in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse?
The model expects 2.7 goals (Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1.86 · Shimizu S-Pulse 0.84), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.