Football · Japan J3-League · 18/09, 12:00
Prediction: FC Osaka vs Fukushima Utd
Team pages: FC Osaka · Fukushima Utd
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.06Total
FC Osaka1.94
Fukushima Utd1.12
1X2
FC Osaka
Draw
Fukushima Utd
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Osaka
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Fukushima Utd
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Osaka
4–2
Fukushima Utd
(6 last)
- Fukushima Utd0-1FC Osaka
- FC Osaka7-1Fukushima Utd
- FC Osaka1-2Fukushima Utd
- Fukushima Utd2-0FC Osaka
- FC Osaka1-0Fukushima Utd
- Fukushima Utd0-1FC Osaka
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Osaka 1571 · Fukushima Utd 1520
| FC Osaka | Draw | Fukushima Utd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 24% | 21% |
| Market | 56% | 24% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.06 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Osaka (rating 1571 vs 1520).
- H2H favours FC Osaka: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Osaka | Fukushima Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.2 | 2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.6 | 1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.1 | 2.7 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0.1 | 2.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Osaka 4–0–2 Fukushima Utd
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/25 Japan J3-League | Fukushima Utd | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FC Osaka |
| 22/06/25 Japan J3-League | FC Osaka | 7-1 HT 4-0 | Fukushima Utd |
| 23/09/24 Japan J3-League | FC Osaka | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Fukushima Utd |
| 23/06/24 Japan J3-League | Fukushima Utd | 2-0 HT 0-0 | FC Osaka |
| 05/11/23 Japan J3-League | FC Osaka | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Fukushima Utd |
| 11/06/23 Japan J3-League | Fukushima Utd | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FC Osaka |
Standings · Japan J3-League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | Ehime FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Sagamihara | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | FC Gifu | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | FC Osaka | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 5 | FC Ryukyu | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Gainare Tottori | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 10 |
| 9 | Roasso Kumamoto | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 10 | Reilac Shiga | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
| 11 | Tochigi SC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| 12 | Parceiro Nagano | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| 13 | Nara Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 8 |
| 14 | Zweigen Kanazawa | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 7 |
| 15 | Kochi United | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 5 |
| 16 | Fukushima Utd | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 4 |
| 17 | Matsumoto Y FC | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 4 |
| 18 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 4 |
| 19 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 3 |
| 20 | Thespa Gunma | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 3 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Osaka | Fukushima Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Gainare Tottori | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 0-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Zweigen Kanazawa | 1-0 W | 3-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Osaka (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Osaka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Ehime FC Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Matsumoto Y FC Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 30/08 | Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 16/08 | Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League |
1-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 14/12 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J3-League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 07/12 | Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 29/11 | FC Gifu Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 24/11 | Kochi United Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
Fukushima Utd
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Roasso Kumamoto Japan J3-League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Nara Club Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 22/08 | Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League |
2-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 29/11 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 23/11 | Azul Claro Numazu Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 16/11 | Nara Club Japan J3-League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 09/11 | Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Osaka vs Fukushima Utd?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Osaka win (56%). Probabilities: FC Osaka 56%, draw 24%, Fukushima Utd 21%.
How many goals are expected in FC Osaka vs Fukushima Utd?
The model expects 3.06 goals (FC Osaka 1.94 · Fukushima Utd 1.12), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Osaka vs Fukushima Utd?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.