Prediction: Tochigi SC vs Matsumoto Y FC
Team pages: Tochigi SC · Matsumoto Y FC
- Matsumoto Y FC1-1Tochigi SC
- Tochigi SC3-1Matsumoto Y FC
- Matsumoto Y FC0-1Tochigi SC
- Tochigi SC3-0Matsumoto Y FC
- Matsumoto Y FC0-0Tochigi SC
- Tochigi SC1-1Matsumoto Y FC
| Tochigi SC | Draw | Matsumoto Y FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 28% | 31% |
| Market | 41% | 29% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Tochigi SC: 3-3-0.
- High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tochigi SC | Matsumoto Y FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.5 | 1.1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5.4 | 3.3 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.2 | 2.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tochigi SC 3–3–0 Matsumoto Y FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/25 Japan J3-League | Matsumoto Y FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Tochigi SC |
| 28/06/25 Japan J3-League | Tochigi SC | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Matsumoto Y FC |
| 10/10/21 Japan J2-League | Matsumoto Y FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Tochigi SC |
| 23/05/21 Japan J2-League | Tochigi SC | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Matsumoto Y FC |
| 04/11/20 Japan J2-League | Matsumoto Y FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tochigi SC |
| 13/09/20 Japan J2-League | Tochigi SC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Matsumoto Y FC |
Standings · Japan J3-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Ehime FC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | FC Osaka | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Reilac Shiga | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 12 |
| 6 | Sagamihara | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 11 |
| 7 | Parceiro Nagano | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
| 8 | Nara Club | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 15 | 11 |
| 9 | FC Gifu | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 5 | 10 |
| 10 | Roasso Kumamoto | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| 11 | FC Ryukyu | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 10 |
| 12 | Gainare Tottori | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 10 |
| 13 | Tochigi SC | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 9 |
| 14 | Zweigen Kanazawa | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 7 |
| 15 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 6 |
| 16 | Thespa Gunma | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 6 |
| 17 | Matsumoto Y FC | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 5 |
| 18 | Kochi United | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 5 |
| 19 | Fukushima Utd | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 4 |
| 20 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 4 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tochigi SC | Matsumoto Y FC |
|---|---|---|
| Kochi United | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Giravanz Kitakyushu | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Roasso Kumamoto | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 0 L | 0 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Tochigi SC (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tochigi SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Kagoshima United Japan J3-League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 05/09 | Kochi United Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 29/08 | FC Gifu Japan J3-League |
0-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 22/08 | Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 15/08 | Roasso Kumamoto Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 09/08 | Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 29/11 | Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 23/11 | Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/11 | Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
Matsumoto Y FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Roasso Kumamoto Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 13/09 | Sagamihara Japan J3-League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | FC Osaka Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 30/08 | Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 22/08 | Ehime FC Japan J3-League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 16/08 | Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Kochi United Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 29/11 | Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 23/11 | Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League |
2-2 | 2-6 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 16/11 | FC Osaka Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tochigi SC vs Matsumoto Y FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tochigi SC win (41%). Probabilities: Tochigi SC 41%, draw 28%, Matsumoto Y FC 31%.
How many goals are expected in Tochigi SC vs Matsumoto Y FC?
The model expects 2.72 goals (Tochigi SC 1.46 · Matsumoto Y FC 1.25), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Tochigi SC vs Matsumoto Y FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.