Football · Japan J3-League · 26/09, 10:00

Prediction: Kochi United vs FC Osaka

Team pages: Kochi United · FC Osaka

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.33Total

Kochi United1.16

FC Osaka1.17

1X2

35% 29% 36%

Kochi United Draw FC Osaka

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Kochi United 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DLLDLWLLDL

FC Osaka 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WWLDWDDDWW

Head-to-head

Kochi United 0–2–4 FC Osaka (6 last)

Kochi United0-0FC Osaka
FC Osaka2-2Kochi United
FC Osaka1-0Kochi United
Kochi United1-2FC Osaka
FC Osaka3-2Kochi United
FC Osaka2-1Kochi United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kochi United 1403 · FC Osaka 1575

	Kochi United	Draw	FC Osaka
Our model	34%	31%	35%
Market	36%	28%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Osaka (rating 1403 vs 1575).
H2H favours FC Osaka: 4-2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kochi United	FC Osaka
Goals for / against (FT)	0.3 / 1.6	1.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.8	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.9	3.1 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.1	2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.20

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.93

Under 2.251.88

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:02 +8’	2.50	3.20	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kochi United 0–2–4 FC Osaka

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	Kochi United	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Osaka
15/02/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	FC Osaka	2-2 HT 1-1	Kochi United
24/11/25 Japan J3-League	FC Osaka	1-0 HT 0-0	Kochi United
02/03/25 Japan J3-League	Kochi United	1-2 HT 0-0	FC Osaka
28/05/22 Japan Football League	FC Osaka	3-2 HT 0-0	Kochi United
03/04/21 Japan Football League	FC Osaka	2-1 HT 0-0	Kochi United

Standings · Japan J3-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kagoshima United	7	6	1	0	15	7	19
2	Ehime FC	7	5	1	1	18	8	16
3	FC Osaka	7	3	4	0	13	7	13
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	7	4	1	2	9	5	13
5	Reilac Shiga	7	4	0	3	13	10	12
6	Sagamihara	7	3	2	2	12	8	11
7	Parceiro Nagano	7	3	2	2	8	8	11
8	Nara Club	7	3	2	2	14	15	11
9	FC Gifu	7	3	1	3	15	5	10
10	Roasso Kumamoto	7	2	4	1	6	4	10
11	FC Ryukyu	7	3	1	3	9	9	10
12	Gainare Tottori	7	3	1	3	10	14	10
13	Tochigi SC	7	2	3	2	10	12	9
14	Zweigen Kanazawa	7	2	1	4	10	12	7
15	Giravanz Kitakyushu	7	1	3	3	9	15	6
16	Thespa Gunma	7	2	0	5	7	14	6
17	Matsumoto Y FC	7	0	5	2	6	9	5
18	Kochi United	7	1	2	4	3	14	5
19	Fukushima Utd	7	1	1	5	12	17	4
20	Kamatamare Sanuki	7	1	1	5	7	13	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kochi United	FC Osaka
Zweigen Kanazawa	1-1 D	1-0 W
FC Gifu	0-7 L	3-2 W
Matsumoto Y FC	0-0 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Osaka (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kochi United

DLLDLWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
13/09	Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League	1-1	1-1	3	4	D
05/09	Tochigi SC Japan J3-League	0-1	0-2	9	1	L
30/08	Roasso Kumamoto Japan J3-League	0-2	0-2	2	4	L
23/08	Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League	0-0	2-1	5	4	W
15/08	FC Gifu Japan J3-League	0-3	0-7	4	4	L
08/08	Matsumoto Y FC Japan J3-League	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
29/11	Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
24/11	FC Osaka Japan J3-League	0-0	0-1	4	0	L
15/11	Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J3-League	0-0	0-0	2	1	D

FC Osaka

WWLDWDDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League	2-0	4-1	5	1	W
14/09	Ehime FC Japan J3-League	1-0	2-1	6	2	W
05/09	Matsumoto Y FC Japan J3-League	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
30/08	Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
22/08	FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League	0-1	2-2	4	1	D
16/08	Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League	1-1	4-2	6	2	W
08/08	Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League	0-1	1-1	2	3	D
14/12	Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J3-League	0-2	0-4	9	4	L
07/12	Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
29/11	FC Gifu Japan J3-League	0-1	3-2	11	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kochi United vs FC Osaka?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Osaka win (36%). Probabilities: Kochi United 35%, draw 29%, FC Osaka 36%.

How many goals are expected in Kochi United vs FC Osaka?

The model expects 2.33 goals (Kochi United 1.16 · FC Osaka 1.17), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Kochi United vs FC Osaka?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.