Football · Japan J3-League · 26/09, 06:00
Prediction: Zweigen Kanazawa vs Gainare Tottori
Team pages: Zweigen Kanazawa · Gainare Tottori
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.31Total
Zweigen Kanazawa1.96
Gainare Tottori1.36
1X2
Zweigen Kanazawa
Draw
Gainare Tottori
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Zweigen Kanazawa
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Gainare Tottori
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Zweigen Kanazawa
1–2–2
Gainare Tottori
(5 last)
- Zweigen Kanazawa1-3Gainare Tottori
- Zweigen Kanazawa2-0Gainare Tottori
- Gainare Tottori1-1Zweigen Kanazawa
- Gainare Tottori1-0Zweigen Kanazawa
- Zweigen Kanazawa3-3Gainare Tottori
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zweigen Kanazawa 1465 · Gainare Tottori 1532
| Zweigen Kanazawa | Draw | Gainare Tottori | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 24% | 26% |
| Market | 50% | 26% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gainare Tottori (rating 1465 vs 1532).
- H2H favours Gainare Tottori: 2-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Zweigen Kanazawa | Gainare Tottori | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.7 | 1.6 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.7 | 1.9 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.1 | 1.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zweigen Kanazawa 1–2–2 Gainare Tottori
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League | Zweigen Kanazawa | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Gainare Tottori |
| 30/08/25 Japan J3-League | Zweigen Kanazawa | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Gainare Tottori |
| 06/04/25 Japan J3-League | Gainare Tottori | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Zweigen Kanazawa |
| 17/11/24 Japan J3-League | Gainare Tottori | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Zweigen Kanazawa |
| 06/05/24 Japan J3-League | Zweigen Kanazawa | 3-3 HT 3-2 | Gainare Tottori |
Standings · Japan J3-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Ehime FC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | FC Osaka | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Reilac Shiga | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 12 |
| 6 | Sagamihara | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 11 |
| 7 | Parceiro Nagano | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
| 8 | Nara Club | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 15 | 11 |
| 9 | FC Gifu | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 5 | 10 |
| 10 | Roasso Kumamoto | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| 11 | FC Ryukyu | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 10 |
| 12 | Gainare Tottori | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 10 |
| 13 | Tochigi SC | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 9 |
| 14 | Zweigen Kanazawa | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 7 |
| 15 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 6 |
| 16 | Thespa Gunma | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 6 |
| 17 | Matsumoto Y FC | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 5 |
| 18 | Kochi United | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 5 |
| 19 | Fukushima Utd | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 4 |
| 20 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Zweigen Kanazawa | Gainare Tottori |
|---|---|---|
| Renofa Yamaguchi | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Ehime FC | 0-1 L | 0-4 L |
| Fukushima Utd | 4-3 W | 2-1 W |
| Tochigi SC | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| FC Osaka | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Giravanz Kitakyushu | 1-2 L | 4-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 5 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zweigen Kanazawa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 13/09 | Kochi United Japan J3-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | FC Gifu Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Ehime FC Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 23/08 | Sagamihara Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League |
0-2 | 4-3 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Tochigi SC Japan J3-League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 07/12 | FC Osaka Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 29/11 | Kagoshima United Japan J3-League |
3-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 23/11 | Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
Gainare Tottori
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Nara Club Japan J3-League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 05/09 | Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | Ehime FC Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 08/08 | FC Osaka Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 29/11 | Nara Club Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 23/11 | Tochigi SC Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 16/11 | Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League |
3-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zweigen Kanazawa vs Gainare Tottori?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Zweigen Kanazawa win (50%). Probabilities: Zweigen Kanazawa 50%, draw 25%, Gainare Tottori 25%.
How many goals are expected in Zweigen Kanazawa vs Gainare Tottori?
The model expects 3.31 goals (Zweigen Kanazawa 1.96 · Gainare Tottori 1.36), with a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Zweigen Kanazawa vs Gainare Tottori?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.