Football · Japan J3-League · 19/09, 12:00

Prediction: Gainare Tottori vs Nara Club

Team pages: Gainare Tottori · Nara Club

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.61Total

Gainare Tottori1.9

Nara Club1.71

1X2

41% 25% 34%

Gainare Tottori Draw Nara Club

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Gainare Tottori 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWDLWWLW

Nara Club 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLWLLLWDDW

Head-to-head

Gainare Tottori 3–1–2 Nara Club (6 last)

Gainare Tottori2-1Nara Club
Nara Club1-0Gainare Tottori
Gainare Tottori2-1Nara Club
Nara Club2-2Gainare Tottori
Nara Club1-2Gainare Tottori
Gainare Tottori0-2Nara Club

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gainare Tottori 1551 · Nara Club 1474

	Gainare Tottori	Draw	Nara Club
Our model	42%	24%	34%
Market	41%	26%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.61 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gainare Tottori (rating 1551 vs 1474).
H2H favours Gainare Tottori: 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gainare Tottori	Nara Club
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.8	1.6 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.3	2 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.9 / 0.1	2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.40

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
16:15 +9’	2.20	3.40	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gainare Tottori 3–1–2 Nara Club

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/11/25 Japan J3-League	Gainare Tottori	2-1 HT 0-0	Nara Club
14/06/25 Japan J3-League	Nara Club	1-0 HT 0-0	Gainare Tottori
17/08/24 Japan J3-League	Gainare Tottori	2-1 HT 1-0	Nara Club
29/06/24 Japan J3-League	Nara Club	2-2 HT 2-1	Gainare Tottori
26/11/23 Japan J3-League	Nara Club	1-2 HT 0-0	Gainare Tottori
29/04/23 Japan J3-League	Gainare Tottori	0-2 HT 0-1	Nara Club

Standings · Japan J3-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kagoshima United	6	5	1	0	12	6	16
2	Ehime FC	6	4	1	1	16	7	13
3	Sagamihara	6	3	2	1	11	6	11
4	FC Gifu	6	3	1	2	15	4	10
5	FC Osaka	6	2	4	0	9	6	10
5	FC Ryukyu	6	3	1	2	9	6	10
7	Renofa Yamaguchi	6	3	1	2	7	4	10
8	Gainare Tottori	6	3	1	2	8	11	10
9	Roasso Kumamoto	6	2	3	1	6	4	9
10	Reilac Shiga	6	3	0	3	10	10	9
11	Tochigi SC	6	2	3	1	9	9	9
12	Parceiro Nagano	6	2	2	2	7	8	8
13	Nara Club	6	2	2	2	11	13	8
14	Zweigen Kanazawa	6	2	1	3	9	10	7
15	Kochi United	6	1	2	3	3	13	5
16	Fukushima Utd	6	1	1	4	11	13	4
17	Matsumoto Y FC	6	0	4	2	6	9	4
18	Kamatamare Sanuki	6	1	1	4	6	11	4
19	Giravanz Kitakyushu	6	0	3	3	7	14	3
20	Thespa Gunma	6	1	0	5	6	14	3

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gainare Tottori	Nara Club
Renofa Yamaguchi	0-3 L	3-1 W
Fukushima Utd	2-1 W	2-2 D
Ehime FC	0-4 L	1-4 L
FC Gifu	4-2 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gainare Tottori

WWLWDLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League	2-1	4-2	1	1	W
05/09	Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League	0-2	0-3	3	3	L
30/08	Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League	0-0	1-0	5	1	W
22/08	Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League	0-0	2-1	2	2	W
16/08	Ehime FC Japan J3-League	0-0	0-4	3	1	L
08/08	FC Osaka Japan J3-League	1-0	1-1	9	3	D
29/11	Nara Club Japan J3-League	0-0	2-1	5	0	W
23/11	Tochigi SC Japan J3-League	0-1	1-2	2	2	L
16/11	Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League	3-0	3-2	2	4	W
09/11	FC Gifu Japan J3-League	2-1	4-2	1	3	W

Nara Club

DLWLLLWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	FC Gifu Japan J3-League	1-0	2-1	8	2	W
06/09	Roasso Kumamoto Japan J3-League	1-2	2-2	5	3	D
29/08	Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League	0-0	2-2	2	2	D
22/08	Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League	1-1	3-1	5	3	W
16/08	Kagoshima United Japan J3-League	1-1	1-3	1	4	L
09/08	Ehime FC Japan J3-League	0-3	1-4	3	0	L
29/11	Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League	0-0	1-2	4	0	L
24/11	Sagamihara Japan J3-League	2-0	2-1	5	1	W
16/11	Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League	1-1	1-2	3	3	L
08/11	Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J3-League	0-0	1-1	2	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gainare Tottori vs Nara Club?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gainare Tottori win (41%). Probabilities: Gainare Tottori 41%, draw 25%, Nara Club 34%.

How many goals are expected in Gainare Tottori vs Nara Club?

The model expects 3.61 goals (Gainare Tottori 1.9 · Nara Club 1.71), with a 58% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Gainare Tottori vs Nara Club?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.