Football · Japan J3-League · 17/10, 11:00

Prediction: Kagoshima United vs Ehime FC

Team pages: Kagoshima United · Ehime FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.84Total

Kagoshima United1.59

Ehime FC1.26

1X2

44% 26% 29%

Kagoshima United Draw Ehime FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Kagoshima United 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWWWWDWL

Ehime FC 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWWLWDWW

Head-to-head

Kagoshima United 2–1–3 Ehime FC (6 last)

Kagoshima United4-0Ehime FC
Ehime FC2-2Kagoshima United
Ehime FC0-2Kagoshima United
Kagoshima United1-2Ehime FC
Kagoshima United0-1Ehime FC
Ehime FC1-0Kagoshima United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kagoshima United 1548 · Ehime FC 1554

	Kagoshima United	Draw	Ehime FC
Our model	44%	27%	29%
Market	44%	26%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.84 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Ehime FC: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kagoshima United	Ehime FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.1	2.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.2	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.3	2.8 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0	2.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.40

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Pinn 2.01
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.00 → 3.00	Pinn 3.40 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.7% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:23 +12’	2.00	3.40	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:12 +87’	2.01	3.34	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kagoshima United 2–1–3 Ehime FC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
19/10/24 Japan J2-League	Kagoshima United	4-0 HT 1-0	Ehime FC
13/04/24 Japan J2-League	Ehime FC	2-2 HT 1-0	Kagoshima United
23/09/23 Japan J3-League	Ehime FC	0-2 HT 0-1	Kagoshima United
23/07/23 Japan J3-League	Kagoshima United	1-2 HT 1-1	Ehime FC
30/10/22 Japan J3-League	Kagoshima United	0-1 HT 0-0	Ehime FC
25/06/22 Japan J3-League	Ehime FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Kagoshima United

Standings · Japan J3-League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ehime FC	10	7	2	1	24	10	23
2	Kagoshima United	10	7	2	1	19	11	23
3	Renofa Yamaguchi	10	6	2	2	14	7	20
4	Nara Club	10	6	2	2	21	16	20
5	Sagamihara	10	5	3	2	18	12	18
6	FC Osaka	10	4	5	1	18	9	17
7	FC Gifu	10	5	1	4	20	10	16
8	Zweigen Kanazawa	10	4	2	4	17	14	14
9	Roasso Kumamoto	10	3	5	2	7	6	14
10	Reilac Shiga	10	4	2	4	16	16	14
11	Parceiro Nagano	10	4	2	4	14	14	14
12	Gainare Tottori	10	4	1	5	12	19	13
13	Matsumoto Y FC	10	2	5	3	9	11	11
14	FC Ryukyu	10	3	2	5	11	14	11
15	Tochigi SC	10	2	4	4	11	15	10
16	Giravanz Kitakyushu	10	2	4	4	12	18	10
17	Thespa Gunma	10	3	0	7	10	19	9
18	Fukushima Utd	10	2	2	6	20	25	8
19	Kamatamare Sanuki	10	1	2	7	12	20	5
20	Kochi United	10	1	2	7	4	23	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kagoshima United	Ehime FC
Matsumoto Y FC	0-1 L	2-2 D
Giravanz Kitakyushu	1-1 D	4-2 W
FC Ryukyu	2-1 W	1-1 D
Kamatamare Sanuki	4-3 W	2-1 W
Nara Club	3-1 W	4-1 W
Thespa Gunma	1-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Ehime FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kagoshima United

WWDWWWWDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Matsumoto Y FC Japan J3-League	0-0	0-1	6	1	L
04/10	Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League	2-0	3-2	5	2	W
26/09	Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League	0-0	1-1	8	1	D
19/09	Tochigi SC Japan J3-League	2-0	3-1	5	4	W
13/09	Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League	1-0	2-1	9	5	W
05/09	FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League	0-0	2-1	5	2	W
29/08	Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League	0-1	4-3	3	1	W
22/08	FC Gifu Japan J3-League	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
16/08	Nara Club Japan J3-League	1-1	3-1	3	4	W
08/08	Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League	1-0	1-0	8	3	W

Ehime FC

WWDWWLWDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Roasso Kumamoto Japan J3-League	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
03/10	Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League	0-1	3-1	9	1	W
26/09	FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League	0-0	1-1	3	0	D
19/09	Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League	1-0	2-1	8	3	W
14/09	FC Osaka Japan J3-League	0-1	1-2	5	2	L
05/09	Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League	2-1	4-2	8	4	W
30/08	Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
22/08	Matsumoto Y FC Japan J3-League	1-1	2-2	5	3	D
16/08	Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League	0-0	4-0	7	1	W
09/08	Nara Club Japan J3-League	3-0	4-1	6	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kagoshima United vs Ehime FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kagoshima United win (44%). Probabilities: Kagoshima United 44%, draw 26%, Ehime FC 29%.

How many goals are expected in Kagoshima United vs Ehime FC?

The model expects 2.84 goals (Kagoshima United 1.59 · Ehime FC 1.26), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Kagoshima United vs Ehime FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.