Prediction: Reilac Shiga vs Sagamihara
Team pages: Reilac Shiga · Sagamihara
| Reilac Shiga | Draw | Sagamihara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 25% | 45% |
| Market | 30% | 26% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sagamihara (rating 1478 vs 1518).
- High corners: 13.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Reilac Shiga | Sagamihara | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.6 | 1.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6.1 | 3 / 7.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0.1 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Standings · Japan J3-League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 13 | 26 |
| 2 | Ehime FC | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 14 | 23 |
| 3 | Nara Club | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 16 | 23 |
| 4 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 20 |
| 5 | FC Gifu | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Sagamihara | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 18 |
| 7 | FC Osaka | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 17 |
| 8 | Zweigen Kanazawa | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 14 |
| 9 | Roasso Kumamoto | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 |
| 10 | Reilac Shiga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 14 |
| 11 | Parceiro Nagano | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | FC Ryukyu | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Gainare Tottori | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 14 |
| 14 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 13 |
| 15 | Matsumoto Y FC | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 11 |
| 16 | Tochigi SC | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 10 |
| 17 | Thespa Gunma | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 10 |
| 18 | Fukushima Utd | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 26 | 8 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 5 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 5 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Reilac Shiga | Sagamihara |
|---|---|---|
| Roasso Kumamoto | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| FC Ryukyu | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Kamatamare Sanuki | 3-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Thespa Gunma | 3-2 W | 4-1 W |
| Matsumoto Y FC | 3-2 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Reilac Shiga
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 02/10 | Roasso Kumamoto Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 26/09 | Nara Club Japan J3-League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 13 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 13/09 | Kagoshima United Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 22/08 | Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League |
3-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | Matsumoto Y FC Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | FC Gifu Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
Sagamihara
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 14 | 2 | W |
| 03/10 | FC Osaka Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 26/09 | Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 20/09 | Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Matsumoto Y FC Japan J3-League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 29/08 | FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 23/08 | Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Roasso Kumamoto Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Reilac Shiga vs Sagamihara?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sagamihara win (45%). Probabilities: Reilac Shiga 30%, draw 25%, Sagamihara 45%.
How many goals are expected in Reilac Shiga vs Sagamihara?
The model expects 3.16 goals (Reilac Shiga 1.4 · Sagamihara 1.75), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Reilac Shiga vs Sagamihara?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.