Football · Japan J3-League · 09/10, 11:30
Prediction: Sagamihara vs Kamatamare Sanuki
Team pages: Sagamihara · Kamatamare Sanuki
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.93Total
Sagamihara1.8
Kamatamare Sanuki1.13
1X2
Sagamihara
Draw
Kamatamare Sanuki
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Sagamihara
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Kamatamare Sanuki
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sagamihara
2–2–2
Kamatamare Sanuki
(6 last)
- Kamatamare Sanuki2-0Sagamihara
- Sagamihara1-1Kamatamare Sanuki
- Kamatamare Sanuki0-0Sagamihara
- Sagamihara2-1Kamatamare Sanuki
- Sagamihara1-0Kamatamare Sanuki
- Kamatamare Sanuki1-0Sagamihara
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sagamihara 1496 · Kamatamare Sanuki 1436
| Sagamihara | Draw | Kamatamare Sanuki | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 25% | 23% |
| Market | 52% | 26% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sagamihara (rating 1496 vs 1436).
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sagamihara | Kamatamare Sanuki | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.5 | 1.2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 6.7 | 2.4 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.1 | 2.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sagamihara 2–2–2 Kamatamare Sanuki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/25 Japan J3-League | Kamatamare Sanuki | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Sagamihara |
| 30/03/25 Japan J3-League | Sagamihara | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Kamatamare Sanuki |
| 21/07/24 Japan J3-League | Kamatamare Sanuki | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sagamihara |
| 30/03/24 Japan J3-League | Sagamihara | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Kamatamare Sanuki |
| 05/08/23 Japan J3-League | Sagamihara | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Kamatamare Sanuki |
| 19/03/23 Japan J3-League | Kamatamare Sanuki | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Sagamihara |
Standings · Japan J3-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ehime FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | Kagoshima United | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Nara Club | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Osaka | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Sagamihara | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 15 |
| 7 | Roasso Kumamoto | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | FC Gifu | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 10 | 13 |
| 9 | Zweigen Kanazawa | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 13 |
| 10 | Reilac Shiga | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
| 11 | Gainare Tottori | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 13 |
| 12 | Parceiro Nagano | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Ryukyu | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 11 |
| 14 | Tochigi SC | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 10 |
| 15 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 10 |
| 16 | Matsumoto Y FC | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | Fukushima Utd | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 7 |
| 18 | Thespa Gunma | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 6 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 5 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 5 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sagamihara
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | FC Osaka Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 26/09 | Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 20/09 | Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Matsumoto Y FC Japan J3-League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 29/08 | FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 23/08 | Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Roasso Kumamoto Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 29/11 | Tochigi City Japan J3-League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 7 | 2 | L |
Kamatamare Sanuki
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Tochigi SC Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 26/09 | FC Gifu Japan J3-League |
2-3 | 3-4 | 14 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Ehime FC Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Kagoshima United Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 23/08 | Kochi United Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 29/11 | Azul Claro Numazu Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 23/11 | Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sagamihara vs Kamatamare Sanuki?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sagamihara win (52%). Probabilities: Sagamihara 52%, draw 25%, Kamatamare Sanuki 22%.
How many goals are expected in Sagamihara vs Kamatamare Sanuki?
The model expects 2.93 goals (Sagamihara 1.8 · Kamatamare Sanuki 1.13), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sagamihara vs Kamatamare Sanuki?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.