Football · Japan J3-League · 17/10, 07:00
Prediction: FC Gifu vs Fukushima Utd
Team pages: FC Gifu · Fukushima Utd
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.71Total
FC Gifu2.29
Fukushima Utd1.42
1X2
FC Gifu
Draw
Fukushima Utd
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Gifu
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Fukushima Utd
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Gifu
3–3
Fukushima Utd
(6 last)
- Fukushima Utd1-2FC Gifu
- FC Gifu2-1Fukushima Utd
- FC Gifu0-2Fukushima Utd
- Fukushima Utd4-3FC Gifu
- Fukushima Utd4-3FC Gifu
- FC Gifu4-1Fukushima Utd
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Gifu 1506 · Fukushima Utd 1422
| FC Gifu | Draw | Fukushima Utd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 21% | 22% |
| Market | 56% | 22% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.71 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Gifu (rating 1506 vs 1422).
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Gifu | Fukushima Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1 | 2 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.6 | 3 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.3 | 1.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Gifu 3–0–3 Fukushima Utd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League | Fukushima Utd | 1-2 HT 1-1 | FC Gifu |
| 15/03/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League | FC Gifu | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Fukushima Utd |
| 24/08/25 Japan J3-League | FC Gifu | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Fukushima Utd |
| 08/03/25 Japan J3-League | Fukushima Utd | 4-3 HT 0-2 | FC Gifu |
| 06/10/24 Japan J3-League | Fukushima Utd | 4-3 HT 3-2 | FC Gifu |
| 24/02/24 Japan J3-League | FC Gifu | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Fukushima Utd |
Standings · Japan J3-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ehime FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | Kagoshima United | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 23 |
| 3 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Nara Club | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 16 | 20 |
| 5 | Sagamihara | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 18 |
| 6 | FC Osaka | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 17 |
| 7 | FC Gifu | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 10 | 16 |
| 8 | Zweigen Kanazawa | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 14 |
| 9 | Roasso Kumamoto | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 |
| 10 | Reilac Shiga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 14 |
| 11 | Parceiro Nagano | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Gainare Tottori | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 13 |
| 13 | Matsumoto Y FC | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 11 |
| 14 | FC Ryukyu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Tochigi SC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 10 |
| 16 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 10 |
| 17 | Thespa Gunma | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 9 |
| 18 | Fukushima Utd | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 25 | 8 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 5 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 5 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Gifu | Fukushima Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Gainare Tottori | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Kamatamare Sanuki | 4-3 W | 1-2 L |
| Parceiro Nagano | 0-1 L | 4-3 W |
| Nara Club | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Zweigen Kanazawa | 0-1 L | 3-4 L |
| Kagoshima United | 0-0 D | 2-3 L |
| Reilac Shiga | 3-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Gifu (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Gifu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 03/10 | Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 26/09 | Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League |
3-2 | 4-3 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Nara Club Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Tochigi SC Japan J3-League |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Kagoshima United Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 15/08 | Kochi United Japan J3-League |
3-0 | 7-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
Fukushima Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 04/10 | Kagoshima United Japan J3-League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 26/09 | Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League |
1-1 | 4-3 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 18/09 | FC Osaka Japan J3-League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 12/09 | Roasso Kumamoto Japan J3-League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Nara Club Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 22/08 | Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League |
2-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Gifu vs Fukushima Utd?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Gifu win (56%). Probabilities: FC Gifu 56%, draw 22%, Fukushima Utd 22%.
How many goals are expected in FC Gifu vs Fukushima Utd?
The model expects 3.71 goals (FC Gifu 2.29 · Fukushima Utd 1.42), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Gifu vs Fukushima Utd?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.