Football · Japan J3-League · 31/10, 06:00
Prediction: Tochigi SC vs Ehime FC
Team pages: Tochigi SC · Ehime FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.6Total
Tochigi SC1.17
Ehime FC1.42
1X2
Tochigi SC
Draw
Ehime FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Tochigi SC
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Ehime FC
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tochigi SC
3–3–0
Ehime FC
(6 last)
- Tochigi SC1-1Ehime FC
- Ehime FC0-0Tochigi SC
- Ehime FC0-1Tochigi SC
- Tochigi SC2-1Ehime FC
- Ehime FC0-1Tochigi SC
- Tochigi SC0-0Ehime FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tochigi SC 1452 · Ehime FC 1525
| Tochigi SC | Draw | Ehime FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 29% | 42% |
| Market | 31% | 26% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ehime FC (rating 1452 vs 1525).
- H2H favours Tochigi SC: 3-3-0.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tochigi SC | Ehime FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.2 | 2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.6 | 2.4 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.1 | 2.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tochigi SC 3–3–0 Ehime FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/24 Japan J2-League | Tochigi SC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Ehime FC |
| 25/05/24 Japan J2-League | Ehime FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tochigi SC |
| 29/08/21 Japan J2-League | Ehime FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Tochigi SC |
| 28/03/21 Japan J2-League | Tochigi SC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Ehime FC |
| 25/10/20 Japan J2-League | Ehime FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Tochigi SC |
| 16/08/20 Japan J2-League | Tochigi SC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ehime FC |
Standings · Japan J3-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 16 | 29 |
| 2 | Ehime FC | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 19 | 26 |
| 3 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 26 |
| 4 | FC Osaka | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 13 | 23 |
| 5 | Roasso Kumamoto | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 23 |
| 6 | Nara Club | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 21 | 23 |
| 7 | FC Gifu | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 13 | 22 |
| 8 | Sagamihara | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 22 |
| 9 | FC Ryukyu | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 20 |
| 10 | Zweigen Kanazawa | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 17 |
| 11 | Parceiro Nagano | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 19 | 17 |
| 12 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 22 | 16 |
| 13 | Gainare Tottori | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 15 |
| 14 | Fukushima Utd | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 29 | 14 |
| 15 | Matsumoto Y FC | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 14 |
| 16 | Tochigi SC | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 14 |
| 17 | Reilac Shiga | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 24 | 14 |
| 18 | Thespa Gunma | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 22 | 13 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 25 | 8 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 28 | 6 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tochigi SC | Ehime FC |
|---|---|---|
| FC Ryukyu | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Renofa Yamaguchi | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Kamatamare Sanuki | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Kagoshima United | 1-3 L | 2-4 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Ehime FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tochigi SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Sagamihara Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 21/10 | Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 17/10 | FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 11/10 | Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 04/10 | Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 26/09 | Matsumoto Y FC Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | Kagoshima United Japan J3-League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 05/09 | Kochi United Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 29/08 | FC Gifu Japan J3-League |
0-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | L |
Ehime FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 21/10 | Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 17/10 | Kagoshima United Japan J3-League |
0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 11/10 | Roasso Kumamoto Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 03/10 | Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 26/09 | FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 19/09 | Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 14/09 | FC Osaka Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tochigi SC vs Ehime FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Ehime FC win (42%). Probabilities: Tochigi SC 30%, draw 27%, Ehime FC 42%.
How many goals are expected in Tochigi SC vs Ehime FC?
The model expects 2.6 goals (Tochigi SC 1.17 · Ehime FC 1.42), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Tochigi SC vs Ehime FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.