Football · Japan J3-League · 31/10, 06:00

Prediction: Zweigen Kanazawa vs Thespa Gunma

Team pages: Zweigen Kanazawa · Thespa Gunma

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.95Total

Zweigen Kanazawa1.84

Thespa Gunma1.11

1X2

54% 24% 22%

Zweigen Kanazawa Draw Thespa Gunma

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Zweigen Kanazawa 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWDLWWDLLW

Thespa Gunma 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLWDLW

Head-to-head

Zweigen Kanazawa 3–2–1 Thespa Gunma (6 last)

Zweigen Kanazawa4-1Thespa Gunma
Zweigen Kanazawa1-3Thespa Gunma
Thespa Gunma0-1Zweigen Kanazawa
Thespa Gunma1-1Zweigen Kanazawa
Zweigen Kanazawa1-1Thespa Gunma
Zweigen Kanazawa2-1Thespa Gunma

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zweigen Kanazawa 1490 · Thespa Gunma 1467

	Zweigen Kanazawa	Draw	Thespa Gunma
Our model	53%	25%	22%
Market	54%	24%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Zweigen Kanazawa: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Zweigen Kanazawa	Thespa Gunma
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.1	0.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.9	1.8 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	1.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.80

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
05:49 +20’	1.67	3.80	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Zweigen Kanazawa 3–2–1 Thespa Gunma

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/06/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	Zweigen Kanazawa	4-1 HT 0-0	Thespa Gunma
02/11/25 Japan J3-League	Zweigen Kanazawa	1-3 HT 1-1	Thespa Gunma
28/06/25 Japan J3-League	Thespa Gunma	0-1 HT 0-0	Zweigen Kanazawa
27/09/23 Japan J2-League	Thespa Gunma	1-1 HT 0-1	Zweigen Kanazawa
03/06/23 Japan J2-League	Zweigen Kanazawa	1-1 HT 1-1	Thespa Gunma
06/07/22 Japan J2-League	Zweigen Kanazawa	2-1 HT 2-0	Thespa Gunma

Standings · Japan J3-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kagoshima United	13	9	2	2	27	16	29
2	Ehime FC	13	8	2	3	30	19	26
3	Renofa Yamaguchi	13	8	2	3	19	9	26
4	FC Osaka	13	6	5	2	23	13	23
5	Roasso Kumamoto	13	6	5	2	15	7	23
6	Nara Club	13	7	2	4	23	21	23
7	FC Gifu	13	7	1	5	24	13	22
8	Sagamihara	13	6	4	3	21	14	22
9	FC Ryukyu	13	6	2	5	16	15	20
10	Zweigen Kanazawa	13	5	2	6	23	19	17
11	Parceiro Nagano	13	5	2	6	17	19	17
12	Giravanz Kitakyushu	13	4	4	5	19	22	16
13	Gainare Tottori	13	4	3	6	13	23	15
14	Fukushima Utd	13	4	2	7	26	29	14
15	Matsumoto Y FC	13	3	5	5	12	15	14
16	Tochigi SC	13	3	5	5	12	16	14
17	Reilac Shiga	13	4	2	7	17	24	14
18	Thespa Gunma	13	4	1	8	12	22	13
19	Kamatamare Sanuki	13	2	2	9	15	25	8
20	Kochi United	13	1	3	9	5	28	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zweigen Kanazawa	Thespa Gunma
Kamatamare Sanuki	1-3 L	1-0 W
FC Ryukyu	2-0 W	2-1 W
Gainare Tottori	4-1 W	1-1 D
Renofa Yamaguchi	1-2 L	0-2 L
Kochi United	1-1 D	1-0 W
Ehime FC	0-1 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Zweigen Kanazawa (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zweigen Kanazawa

LWDLWWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League	3-0	5-1	5	4	W
21/10	Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League	1-2	1-3	3	2	L
17/10	Nara Club Japan J3-League	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
09/10	FC Osaka Japan J3-League	0-0	1-1	2	3	D
03/10	FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League	0-0	2-0	3	1	W
26/09	Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League	1-0	4-1	5	3	W
20/09	Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League	0-1	1-2	5	7	L
13/09	Kochi United Japan J3-League	1-1	1-1	6	4	D
05/09	FC Gifu Japan J3-League	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
30/08	Ehime FC Japan J3-League	0-0	0-1	2	5	L

Thespa Gunma

WLLWLLWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
21/10	Matsumoto Y FC Japan J3-League	0-1	0-2	6	0	L
17/10	Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League	1-1	1-1	3	2	D
10/10	FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League	1-1	2-1	3	0	W
03/10	Ehime FC Japan J3-League	1-0	1-3	7	1	L
26/09	Roasso Kumamoto Japan J3-League	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
19/09	Kochi United Japan J3-League	0-0	1-0	5	1	W
12/09	Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League	0-2	0-2	3	2	L
05/09	Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League	1-2	1-3	4	3	L
30/08	Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League	0-1	2-1	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zweigen Kanazawa vs Thespa Gunma?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Zweigen Kanazawa win (54%). Probabilities: Zweigen Kanazawa 54%, draw 24%, Thespa Gunma 22%.

How many goals are expected in Zweigen Kanazawa vs Thespa Gunma?

The model expects 2.95 goals (Zweigen Kanazawa 1.84 · Thespa Gunma 1.11), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Zweigen Kanazawa vs Thespa Gunma?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.