Football · Japan J3-League · 31/10, 06:00

Prediction: FC Gifu vs FC Osaka

Team pages: FC Gifu · FC Osaka

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.71Total

FC Gifu1.44

FC Osaka1.27

1X2

40% 27% 32%

FC Gifu Draw FC Osaka

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Gifu 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLWWWL

FC Osaka 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DDWWWLDLWW

Head-to-head

FC Gifu 1–3–2 FC Osaka (6 last)

FC Gifu2-3FC Osaka
FC Osaka1-1FC Gifu
FC Gifu2-0FC Osaka
FC Osaka0-0FC Gifu
FC Osaka1-1FC Gifu
FC Gifu0-1FC Osaka

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Gifu 1481 · FC Osaka 1547

	FC Gifu	Draw	FC Osaka
Our model	40%	28%	32%
Market	41%	26%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Osaka (rating 1481 vs 1547).
H2H favours FC Osaka: 2-3-1.
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Gifu	FC Osaka
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.3	1.6 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 6.9	2.2 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.2	2.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.40

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
06:04 +5’	2.20	3.40	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Gifu 1–3–2 FC Osaka

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/11/25 Japan J3-League	FC Gifu	2-3 HT 1-0	FC Osaka
16/02/25 Japan J3-League	FC Osaka	1-1 HT 1-0	FC Gifu
02/11/24 Japan J3-League	FC Gifu	2-0 HT 0-0	FC Osaka
16/03/24 Japan J3-League	FC Osaka	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Gifu
15/10/23 Japan J3-League	FC Osaka	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Gifu
16/04/23 Japan J3-League	FC Gifu	0-1 HT 0-1	FC Osaka

Standings · Japan J3-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kagoshima United	13	9	2	2	27	16	29
2	Ehime FC	13	8	2	3	30	19	26
3	Renofa Yamaguchi	13	8	2	3	19	9	26
4	FC Osaka	13	6	5	2	23	13	23
5	Roasso Kumamoto	13	6	5	2	15	7	23
6	Nara Club	13	7	2	4	23	21	23
7	FC Gifu	13	7	1	5	24	13	22
8	Sagamihara	13	6	4	3	21	14	22
9	FC Ryukyu	13	6	2	5	16	15	20
10	Zweigen Kanazawa	13	5	2	6	23	19	17
11	Parceiro Nagano	13	5	2	6	17	19	17
12	Giravanz Kitakyushu	13	4	4	5	19	22	16
13	Gainare Tottori	13	4	3	6	13	23	15
14	Fukushima Utd	13	4	2	7	26	29	14
15	Matsumoto Y FC	13	3	5	5	12	15	14
16	Tochigi SC	13	3	5	5	12	16	14
17	Reilac Shiga	13	4	2	7	17	24	14
18	Thespa Gunma	13	4	1	8	12	22	13
19	Kamatamare Sanuki	13	2	2	9	15	25	8
20	Kochi United	13	1	3	9	5	28	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Gifu	FC Osaka
Sagamihara	2-1 W	0-1 L
Fukushima Utd	1-0 W	4-1 W
Renofa Yamaguchi	0-2 L	0-0 D
Nara Club	1-2 L	2-0 W
Zweigen Kanazawa	0-1 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Osaka (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Gifu

WLLLWLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Roasso Kumamoto Japan J3-League	1-0	1-2	6	4	L
21/10	Sagamihara Japan J3-League	0-1	2-1	11	3	W
17/10	Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League	1-0	1-0	7	2	W
11/10	Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
03/10	Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League	0-2	0-2	7	3	L
26/09	Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League	3-2	4-3	4	4	W
20/09	Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League	0-0	0-1	8	3	L
12/09	Nara Club Japan J3-League	0-1	1-2	8	2	L
05/09	Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League	0-1	0-1	7	3	L
29/08	Tochigi SC Japan J3-League	3-0	4-1	4	1	W

FC Osaka

DDWWWLDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Kagoshima United Japan J3-League	1-1	2-1	6	4	W
21/10	Nara Club Japan J3-League	2-0	2-0	1	2	W
17/10	Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League	0-1	1-3	6	2	L
09/10	Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
03/10	Sagamihara Japan J3-League	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
26/09	Kochi United Japan J3-League	1-0	4-0	3	2	W
18/09	Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League	2-0	4-1	5	1	W
14/09	Ehime FC Japan J3-League	1-0	2-1	6	2	W
05/09	Matsumoto Y FC Japan J3-League	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
30/08	Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League	0-0	0-0	7	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Gifu vs FC Osaka?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Gifu win (40%). Probabilities: FC Gifu 40%, draw 27%, FC Osaka 32%.

How many goals are expected in FC Gifu vs FC Osaka?

The model expects 2.71 goals (FC Gifu 1.44 · FC Osaka 1.27), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Gifu vs FC Osaka?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.