Football · Japan J3-League · 03/11, 06:00

Prediction: Zweigen Kanazawa vs Parceiro Nagano

Team pages: Zweigen Kanazawa · Parceiro Nagano

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.79Total

Zweigen Kanazawa1.75

Parceiro Nagano1.05

1X2

53% 25% 22%

Zweigen Kanazawa Draw Parceiro Nagano

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Zweigen Kanazawa 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDLWWDLLWW

Parceiro Nagano 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DDWLLWWLLW

Head-to-head

Zweigen Kanazawa 4–0 Parceiro Nagano (4 last)

Parceiro Nagano1-3Zweigen Kanazawa
Zweigen Kanazawa3-1Parceiro Nagano
Zweigen Kanazawa3-0Parceiro Nagano
Parceiro Nagano1-2Zweigen Kanazawa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zweigen Kanazawa 1517 · Parceiro Nagano 1488

	Zweigen Kanazawa	Draw	Parceiro Nagano
Our model	53%	26%	21%
Market	54%	24%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Zweigen Kanazawa: 4-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Zweigen Kanazawa	Parceiro Nagano
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1	1.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.9	2.1 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.1	1.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.70

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.88

2 (+0.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	3.70 → 3.70	Pinn 3.78
2	4.00 → 4.00	Pinn 4.52 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
08:00 +3’	1.67	3.70	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:58 +5’	1.71	3.68	4.37
08:55 +7’	1.67▼	3.78▲	4.52▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Zweigen Kanazawa 4–0–0 Parceiro Nagano

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/10/25 Japan J3-League	Parceiro Nagano	1-3 HT 1-1	Zweigen Kanazawa
30/03/25 Japan J3-League	Zweigen Kanazawa	3-1 HT 2-0	Parceiro Nagano
06/07/24 Japan J3-League	Zweigen Kanazawa	3-0 HT 2-0	Parceiro Nagano
18/05/24 Japan J3-League	Parceiro Nagano	1-2 HT 1-1	Zweigen Kanazawa

Standings · Japan J3-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kagoshima United	14	9	3	2	28	17	30
2	Ehime FC	14	8	2	4	30	21	26
3	Renofa Yamaguchi	14	8	2	4	19	11	26
4	Nara Club	14	8	2	4	25	21	26
5	FC Gifu	14	8	1	5	25	13	25
6	Sagamihara	14	7	4	3	24	15	25
7	Roasso Kumamoto	14	6	6	2	16	8	24
8	FC Osaka	14	6	5	3	23	14	23
9	FC Ryukyu	14	7	2	5	21	17	23
10	Zweigen Kanazawa	14	6	2	6	27	19	20
11	Parceiro Nagano	14	6	2	6	20	20	20
12	Giravanz Kitakyushu	14	5	4	5	21	22	19
13	Matsumoto Y FC	14	4	5	5	15	16	17
14	Tochigi SC	14	4	5	5	14	16	17
15	Gainare Tottori	14	4	3	7	15	28	15
16	Fukushima Utd	14	4	2	8	27	32	14
17	Reilac Shiga	14	4	2	8	18	27	14
18	Thespa Gunma	14	4	1	9	12	26	13
19	Kamatamare Sanuki	14	2	2	10	15	27	8
20	Kochi United	14	1	3	10	6	31	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zweigen Kanazawa	Parceiro Nagano
Reilac Shiga	5-1 W	3-1 W
Nara Club	0-1 L	0-1 L
FC Ryukyu	2-0 W	0-1 L
Kochi United	1-1 D	3-1 W
FC Gifu	1-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Zweigen Kanazawa (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zweigen Kanazawa

WDLWWDLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League	2-0	4-0	2	3	W
25/10	Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League	3-0	5-1	5	4	W
21/10	Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League	1-2	1-3	3	2	L
17/10	Nara Club Japan J3-League	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
09/10	FC Osaka Japan J3-League	0-0	1-1	2	3	D
03/10	FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League	0-0	2-0	3	1	W
26/09	Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League	1-0	4-1	5	3	W
20/09	Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League	0-1	1-2	5	7	L
13/09	Kochi United Japan J3-League	1-1	1-1	6	4	D
05/09	FC Gifu Japan J3-League	1-0	1-0	3	3	W

Parceiro Nagano

DDWLLWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League	1-0	3-1	0	3	W
25/10	Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League	0-1	1-3	4	2	L
21/10	FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
18/10	Matsumoto Y FC Japan J3-League	2-1	2-1	3	4	W
10/10	Kochi United Japan J3-League	0-0	3-1	4	1	W
03/10	Nara Club Japan J3-League	0-0	0-1	8	1	L
26/09	Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League	1-1	3-4	5	1	L
20/09	FC Gifu Japan J3-League	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
13/09	Tochigi SC Japan J3-League	1-0	1-1	3	0	D
05/09	Sagamihara Japan J3-League	1-0	1-1	3	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zweigen Kanazawa vs Parceiro Nagano?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Zweigen Kanazawa win (53%). Probabilities: Zweigen Kanazawa 53%, draw 25%, Parceiro Nagano 22%.

How many goals are expected in Zweigen Kanazawa vs Parceiro Nagano?

The model expects 2.79 goals (Zweigen Kanazawa 1.75 · Parceiro Nagano 1.05), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Zweigen Kanazawa vs Parceiro Nagano?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.