Football · Japan J2-League · 15/08, 12:00
Prediction: Vegalta Sendai vs Oita
Team pages: Vegalta Sendai · Oita
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.21Total
Vegalta Sendai1.46
Oita0.75
1X2
Vegalta Sendai
Draw
Oita
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Vegalta Sendai
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Oita
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Vegalta Sendai
4–2–0
Oita
(6 last)
- Oita0-0Vegalta Sendai
- Vegalta Sendai2-0Oita
- Vegalta Sendai2-1Oita
- Oita1-1Vegalta Sendai
- Oita2-3Vegalta Sendai
- Vegalta Sendai1-0Oita
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vegalta Sendai (rating 1514 vs 1462).
- H2H favours Vegalta Sendai: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vegalta Sendai | Oita | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.2 | 0.7 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.9 | 1.7 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.2 | 2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vegalta Sendai 4–2–0 Oita
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/25 Japan J2-League | Oita | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Vegalta Sendai |
| 01/03/25 Japan J2-League | Vegalta Sendai | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Oita |
| 10/11/24 Japan J2-League | Vegalta Sendai | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Oita |
| 25/02/24 Japan J2-League | Oita | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Vegalta Sendai |
| 26/08/23 Japan J2-League | Oita | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Vegalta Sendai |
| 29/04/23 Japan J2-League | Vegalta Sendai | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Oita |
Standings · Japan J2-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fujieda MYFC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Montedio Yamagata | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Sagan Tosu | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Iwaki FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Omiya Ardija | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Shonan Bellmare | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Yokohama FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Blaublitz Akita | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Jubilo Iwata | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | FC Imabari | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Albirex Niigata | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Oita | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Kataller Toyama | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Tochigi City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Tokushima Vortis | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Vegalta Sendai | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Ventforet Kofu | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vegalta Sendai | Oita |
|---|---|---|
| Shonan Bellmare | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Montedio Yamagata | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Vegalta Sendai (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vegalta Sendai
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | Kataller Toyama Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Ventforet Kofu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Yokohama FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Shonan Bellmare Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 06/05 | Tochigi SC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Blaublitz Akita Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 29/04 | Thespa Gunma Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
Oita
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Shonan Bellmare Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 07/06 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Nara Club Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
3-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 24/05 | Gainare Tottori Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Sagan Tosu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 06/05 | Kagoshima United Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 29/04 | Roasso Kumamoto Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | FC Ryukyu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vegalta Sendai vs Oita?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Vegalta Sendai win (53%). Probabilities: Vegalta Sendai 53%, draw 29%, Oita 18%.
How many goals are expected in Vegalta Sendai vs Oita?
The model expects 2.21 goals (Vegalta Sendai 1.46 · Oita 0.75), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Vegalta Sendai vs Oita?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.