Football · Japan J2-League · 22/08, 12:00

Prediction: Jubilo Iwata vs Tokushima Vortis

Team pages: Jubilo Iwata · Tokushima Vortis

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.66Total

Jubilo Iwata1.47

Tokushima Vortis1.19

1X2

42% 28% 29%

Jubilo Iwata Draw Tokushima Vortis

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Jubilo Iwata 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DDWLLWDDDL

Tokushima Vortis 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DLLLDDWWLD

Head-to-head

Jubilo Iwata 1–2–3 Tokushima Vortis (6 last)

Tokushima Vortis1-1Jubilo Iwata
Jubilo Iwata0-4Tokushima Vortis
Tokushima Vortis1-1Jubilo Iwata
Tokushima Vortis0-3Jubilo Iwata
Jubilo Iwata2-3Tokushima Vortis
Tokushima Vortis3-1Jubilo Iwata

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Tokushima Vortis: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Jubilo Iwata	Tokushima Vortis
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.7	1.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.7	1.9 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0.2	2.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.92

Under 2.251.87

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:23

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.48 → 2.50▲	Pinn 2.50
X	3.25 → 3.29▲	Pinn 3.29
2	2.75 → 2.77▲	Pinn 2.77

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:56 +7’	2.48	3.25	2.75
17:15 +8’	2.50▲	3.29▲	2.77▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Jubilo Iwata 1–2–3 Tokushima Vortis

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/12/25 Japan J2-League	Tokushima Vortis	1-1 HT 0-1	Jubilo Iwata
18/10/25 Japan J2-League	Jubilo Iwata	0-4 HT 0-4	Tokushima Vortis
25/05/25 Japan J2-League	Tokushima Vortis	1-1 HT 1-1	Jubilo Iwata
22/10/23 Japan J2-League	Tokushima Vortis	0-3 HT 0-2	Jubilo Iwata
29/04/23 Japan J2-League	Jubilo Iwata	2-3 HT 0-2	Tokushima Vortis
04/11/20 Japan J2-League	Tokushima Vortis	3-1 HT 2-1	Jubilo Iwata

Standings · Japan J2-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Fujieda MYFC	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
2	Yokohama FC	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
3	Omiya Ardija	2	2	0	0	4	2	6
4	Shonan Bellmare	2	2	0	0	2	0	6
5	Sagan Tosu	2	1	1	0	2	0	4
6	Tochigi City	2	1	0	1	5	2	3
7	Kataller Toyama	2	1	0	1	4	2	3
8	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
9	Montedio Yamagata	2	1	0	1	2	1	3
10	Albirex Niigata	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
11	Iwaki FC	2	1	0	1	3	4	3
12	Vanraure Hachinohe	2	1	0	1	2	5	3
13	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
14	Oita	2	0	1	1	0	1	1
15	Jubilo Iwata	2	0	1	1	2	4	1
16	Ventforet Kofu	2	0	1	1	1	3	1
17	Tokushima Vortis	2	0	1	1	0	2	1
17	Vegalta Sendai	2	0	1	1	0	2	1
19	Blaublitz Akita	2	0	1	1	1	5	1
20	FC Imabari	2	0	0	2	3	5	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Jubilo Iwata	Tokushima Vortis
FC Osaka	1-1 D	2-2 D
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	1-0 W	0-2 L
Iwaki FC	1-1 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Jubilo Iwata

DDWLLWDDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Yokohama FC Japan J2-League	0-1	1-3	3	6	L
08/08	Blaublitz Akita Japan J2-League	1-0	1-1	9	1	D
06/06	FC Osaka Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-0	1-1	5	2	D
30/05	Tochigi City Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	1-1	2-2	4	2	D
23/05	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
16/05	Fujieda MYFC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-1	0-3	1	1	L
10/05	Fukushima Utd Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	1-1	2-4	7	3	L
06/05	Ventforet Kofu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-1	2-1	5	2	W
02/05	Iwaki FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	1-0	1-1	3	1	D
29/04	Matsumoto Y FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-1	1-1	5	2	D

Tokushima Vortis

DLLLDDWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Sagan Tosu Japan J2-League	0-0	0-0	5	0	D
08/08	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2-League	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
07/06	Iwaki FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
30/05	Sagan Tosu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	1-1	3-1	1	3	W
24/05	FC Imabari Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	1-1	1-1	5	1	D
17/05	Kataller Toyama Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	1-2	2-2	3	3	D
10/05	Nara Club Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-1	1-2	4	1	L
06/05	Albirex Niigata Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
02/05	Ehime FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-2	0-6	7	4	L
29/04	FC Osaka Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	1-1	2-2	1	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jubilo Iwata vs Tokushima Vortis?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Jubilo Iwata win (42%). Probabilities: Jubilo Iwata 42%, draw 28%, Tokushima Vortis 29%.

How many goals are expected in Jubilo Iwata vs Tokushima Vortis?

The model expects 2.66 goals (Jubilo Iwata 1.47 · Tokushima Vortis 1.19), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Jubilo Iwata vs Tokushima Vortis?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.