Prediction: Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Shonan Bellmare
Team pages: Tegevajaro Miyazaki · Shonan Bellmare
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki | Draw | Shonan Bellmare | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 32% | 28% |
| Market | 42% | 28% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tegevajaro Miyazaki (rating 1533 vs 1463).
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki | Shonan Bellmare | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 5.1 | 1 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 2.3 / 0.1 |
Standings · Japan J2-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fujieda MYFC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Yokohama FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Omiya Ardija | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Shonan Bellmare | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Sagan Tosu | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Tochigi City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Kataller Toyama | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Montedio Yamagata | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Albirex Niigata | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Iwaki FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 13 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | Oita | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Jubilo Iwata | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 16 | Ventforet Kofu | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 17 | Tokushima Vortis | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 | Vegalta Sendai | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 19 | Blaublitz Akita | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | FC Imabari | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | Shonan Bellmare |
|---|---|---|
| Yokohama FC | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Oita | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Sagan Tosu | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Tegevajaro Miyazaki (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Ventforet Kofu Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Yokohama FC Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 06/06 | Ventforet Kofu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | Kataller Toyama Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | Reilac Shiga Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 17/05 | Oita Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 06/05 | FC Ryukyu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Sagan Tosu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 29/04 | Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Shonan Bellmare
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Shimizu S-Pulse Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | Oita Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | Sagan Tosu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | Iwaki FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Vegalta Sendai Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Yokohama FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 06/05 | Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Tochigi City Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Shonan Bellmare?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tegevajaro Miyazaki win (42%). Probabilities: Tegevajaro Miyazaki 42%, draw 30%, Shonan Bellmare 29%.
How many goals are expected in Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Shonan Bellmare?
The model expects 2.15 goals (Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1.21 · Shonan Bellmare 0.95), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Shonan Bellmare?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.