Prediction: Sagan Tosu vs Tochigi City
Team pages: Sagan Tosu · Tochigi City
| Sagan Tosu | Draw | Tochigi City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 29% | 27% |
| Market | 44% | 28% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sagan Tosu | Tochigi City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.8 | 1.7 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.8 | 2.4 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.4 / 0 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
Standings · Japan J2-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fujieda MYFC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Yokohama FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Omiya Ardija | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Shonan Bellmare | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Sagan Tosu | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Tochigi City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Kataller Toyama | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Montedio Yamagata | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Albirex Niigata | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Iwaki FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 13 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | Oita | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Jubilo Iwata | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 16 | Ventforet Kofu | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 17 | Tokushima Vortis | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 | Vegalta Sendai | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 19 | Blaublitz Akita | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | FC Imabari | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sagan Tosu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Tokushima Vortis Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 08/08 | Ventforet Kofu Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 06/06 | Shonan Bellmare Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Tokushima Vortis Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | FC Ryukyu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 16/05 | Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 10/05 | Oita Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 06/05 | Gainare Tottori Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 29/04 | Kagoshima United Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
Tochigi City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J2-League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 09/08 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | Reilac Shiga Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | Blaublitz Akita Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Thespa Gunma Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 06/05 | Yokohama FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Shonan Bellmare Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/04 | Sagamihara Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sagan Tosu vs Tochigi City?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sagan Tosu win (44%). Probabilities: Sagan Tosu 44%, draw 29%, Tochigi City 28%.
How many goals are expected in Sagan Tosu vs Tochigi City?
The model expects 2.44 goals (Sagan Tosu 1.39 · Tochigi City 1.05), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sagan Tosu vs Tochigi City?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.