Football · Japan J2-League · 22/08, 12:00

Prediction: Albirex Niigata vs Fujieda MYFC

Team pages: Albirex Niigata · Fujieda MYFC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.96Total
Albirex Niigata1.11
Fujieda MYFC0.85
1X2
41% 31% 27%
Albirex Niigata Draw Fujieda MYFC
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Albirex Niigata 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WDWWDDLWLW
Fujieda MYFC 4-5-1 (W-D-L)
LDDDWDDWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Albirex Niigata 1522 · Fujieda MYFC 1545
Albirex NiigataDrawFujieda MYFC
Our model40%34%26%
Market42%29%28%
Estimated total (ours) 1.96 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.9 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Albirex NiigataFujieda MYFC
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 0.91.2 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.50.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)3.4 / 5.92.4 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.3 / 02.1 / 0

Standings · Japan J2-League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Fujieda MYFC 2200 516
2 Yokohama FC 2200 416
3 Omiya Ardija 2200 426
4 Shonan Bellmare 2200 206
5 Sagan Tosu 2110 204
6 Tochigi City 2101 523
7 Kataller Toyama 2101 423
8 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 2101 323
9 Montedio Yamagata 2101 213
10 Albirex Niigata 2101 223
11 Iwaki FC 2101 343
12 Vanraure Hachinohe 2101 253
13 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2011 121
14 Oita 2011 011
15 Jubilo Iwata 2011 241
16 Ventforet Kofu 2011 131
17 Tokushima Vortis 2011 021
17 Vegalta Sendai 2011 021
19 Blaublitz Akita 2011 151
20 FC Imabari 2002 350

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAlbirex NiigataFujieda MYFC
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 2-1 W 1-2 L
Ehime FC 2-1 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 0 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Albirex Niigata (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Albirex Niigata

WDWWDDLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
Japan J2-League
1-1 2-1 54 W
08/08 Omiya Ardija
Japan J2-League
0-1 0-1 60 L
26/07 Montedio Yamagata
World Club Friendlies
1-0 1-0 41 W
25/07 Montedio Yamagata
World Club Friendlies
0-2 3-4 81 L
06/06 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
0-0 0-0 71 D
30/05 Kagoshima United
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
0-0 0-0 31 D
23/05 Ehime FC
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
0-0 2-1 92 W
16/05 Nara Club
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
0-0 2-1 102 W
10/05 Zweigen Kanazawa
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
0-1 1-1 55 D
06/05 Tokushima Vortis
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
1-0 1-0 26 W

Fujieda MYFC

LDDDWDDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Iwaki FC
Japan J2-League
1-1 3-1 81 W
08/08 Vegalta Sendai
Japan J2-League
1-0 2-0 52 W
06/06 Ehime FC
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
1-0 1-0 42 W
30/05 Sagamihara
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
1-1 1-1 73 D
23/05 Iwaki FC
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
0-0 0-0 91 D
16/05 Jubilo Iwata
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
1-0 3-0 51 W
10/05 Matsumoto Y FC
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
0-0 0-0 53 D
06/05 Fukushima Utd
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
1-1 1-1 54 D
02/05 Parceiro Nagano
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
0-0 0-0 92 D
29/04 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
0-1 1-2 32 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Albirex Niigata vs Fujieda MYFC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Albirex Niigata win (41%). Probabilities: Albirex Niigata 41%, draw 31%, Fujieda MYFC 27%.

How many goals are expected in Albirex Niigata vs Fujieda MYFC?

The model expects 1.96 goals (Albirex Niigata 1.11 · Fujieda MYFC 0.85), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Albirex Niigata vs Fujieda MYFC?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.