Football · Japan J2-League · 15/08, 11:00
Prediction: Tochigi City vs Vanraure Hachinohe
Team pages: Tochigi City · Vanraure Hachinohe
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.4Total
Tochigi City1.33
Vanraure Hachinohe1.07
1X2
Tochigi City
Draw
Vanraure Hachinohe
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Tochigi City
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Vanraure Hachinohe
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tochigi City
2–1–2
Vanraure Hachinohe
(5 last)
- Tochigi City2-4Vanraure Hachinohe
- Vanraure Hachinohe0-1Tochigi City
- Tochigi City1-0Vanraure Hachinohe
- Vanraure Hachinohe0-0Tochigi City
- Tochigi City0-2Vanraure Hachinohe
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tochigi City 1512 · Vanraure Hachinohe 1465
| Tochigi City | Draw | Vanraure Hachinohe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 30% | 29% |
| Market | 42% | 27% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tochigi City (rating 1512 vs 1465).
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tochigi City | Vanraure Hachinohe | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.1 | 0.7 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.7 | 1.5 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tochigi City 2–1–2 Vanraure Hachinohe
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League | Tochigi City | 2-4 HT 2-3 | Vanraure Hachinohe |
| 15/03/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League | Vanraure Hachinohe | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Tochigi City |
| 25/10/25 Japan J3-League | Tochigi City | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Vanraure Hachinohe |
| 06/05/25 Japan J3-League | Vanraure Hachinohe | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tochigi City |
| 25/05/19 Japan Cup | Tochigi City | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Vanraure Hachinohe |
Standings · Japan J2-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fujieda MYFC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Montedio Yamagata | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Sagan Tosu | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Iwaki FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Omiya Ardija | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Shonan Bellmare | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Yokohama FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Blaublitz Akita | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Jubilo Iwata | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | FC Imabari | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Albirex Niigata | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Oita | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Kataller Toyama | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Tochigi City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Tokushima Vortis | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Vegalta Sendai | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Ventforet Kofu | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tochigi City | Vanraure Hachinohe |
|---|---|---|
| Blaublitz Akita | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Thespa Gunma | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Yokohama FC | 2-2 D | 1-4 L |
| Shonan Bellmare | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Sagamihara | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Tochigi SC | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Tochigi City (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tochigi City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | Reilac Shiga Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | Blaublitz Akita Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Thespa Gunma Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 06/05 | Yokohama FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Shonan Bellmare Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/04 | Sagamihara Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Tochigi SC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
Vanraure Hachinohe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Kataller Toyama Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | FC Imabari Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 6 | D |
| 01/06 | Fukushima Utd Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | Tochigi SC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Sagamihara Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | Vegalta Sendai Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 06/05 | Shonan Bellmare Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Thespa Gunma Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 29/04 | Yokohama FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | Blaublitz Akita Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tochigi City vs Vanraure Hachinohe?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tochigi City win (42%). Probabilities: Tochigi City 42%, draw 29%, Vanraure Hachinohe 30%.
How many goals are expected in Tochigi City vs Vanraure Hachinohe?
The model expects 2.4 goals (Tochigi City 1.33 · Vanraure Hachinohe 1.07), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Tochigi City vs Vanraure Hachinohe?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.