Football · Japan J2-League · 15/08, 12:00
Prediction: Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata
Team pages: Shonan Bellmare · Montedio Yamagata
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.52Total
Shonan Bellmare1.56
Montedio Yamagata0.96
1X2
Shonan Bellmare
Draw
Montedio Yamagata
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Shonan Bellmare
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Montedio Yamagata
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shonan Bellmare
2–4
Montedio Yamagata
(6 last)
- Montedio Yamagata3-1Shonan Bellmare
- Shonan Bellmare2-1Montedio Yamagata
- Montedio Yamagata3-0Shonan Bellmare
- Shonan Bellmare0-1Montedio Yamagata
- Shonan Bellmare0-1Montedio Yamagata
- Montedio Yamagata1-2Shonan Bellmare
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shonan Bellmare 1469 · Montedio Yamagata 1461
| Shonan Bellmare | Draw | Montedio Yamagata | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 28% | 22% |
| Market | 50% | 27% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Montedio Yamagata: 4-0-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shonan Bellmare | Montedio Yamagata | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.2 | 1.5 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.9 | 2.3 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.1 | 1.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shonan Bellmare 2–0–4 Montedio Yamagata
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League | Montedio Yamagata | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Shonan Bellmare |
| 14/03/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League | Shonan Bellmare | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Montedio Yamagata |
| 22/07/17 Japan J2-League | Montedio Yamagata | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Shonan Bellmare |
| 27/05/17 Japan J2-League | Shonan Bellmare | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Montedio Yamagata |
| 03/10/15 Japan J-League | Shonan Bellmare | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Montedio Yamagata |
| 04/04/15 Japan J-League | Montedio Yamagata | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Shonan Bellmare |
Standings · Japan J2-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fujieda MYFC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Montedio Yamagata | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Sagan Tosu | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Iwaki FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Omiya Ardija | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Shonan Bellmare | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Yokohama FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Blaublitz Akita | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Jubilo Iwata | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | FC Imabari | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Albirex Niigata | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Oita | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Kataller Toyama | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Tochigi City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Tokushima Vortis | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Vegalta Sendai | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Ventforet Kofu | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shonan Bellmare | Montedio Yamagata |
|---|---|---|
| Oita | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Tochigi City | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Tochigi SC | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Sagamihara | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Shonan Bellmare (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shonan Bellmare
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Oita Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | Sagan Tosu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | Iwaki FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Vegalta Sendai Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Yokohama FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 06/05 | Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Tochigi City Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 29/04 | Tochigi SC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Sagamihara Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
Montedio Yamagata
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Tochigi City Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Albirex Niigata World Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 25/07 | Albirex Niigata World Club Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-3 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 07/06 | Oita Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Matsumoto Y FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | Shonan Bellmare Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Tochigi City Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Sagamihara Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 06/05 | Thespa Gunma Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Tochigi SC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shonan Bellmare win (50%). Probabilities: Shonan Bellmare 50%, draw 28%, Montedio Yamagata 22%.
How many goals are expected in Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata?
The model expects 2.52 goals (Shonan Bellmare 1.56 · Montedio Yamagata 0.96), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.