Football · Japan J2-League · 15/08, 12:00
Prediction: Ventforet Kofu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Team pages: Ventforet Kofu · Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.09Total
Ventforet Kofu1
Tegevajaro Miyazaki1.08
1X2
Ventforet Kofu
Draw
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Ventforet Kofu
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ventforet Kofu
0–1
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
(1 last)
- Tegevajaro Miyazaki2-1Ventforet Kofu
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ventforet Kofu 1478 · Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1541
| Ventforet Kofu | Draw | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 33% | 36% |
| Market | 33% | 29% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.09 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tegevajaro Miyazaki (rating 1478 vs 1541).
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ventforet Kofu | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.3 | 1.3 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 3.8 | 1.8 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.1 | 3.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ventforet Kofu 0–0–1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Ventforet Kofu |
Standings · Japan J2-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fujieda MYFC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Montedio Yamagata | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Sagan Tosu | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Iwaki FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Omiya Ardija | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Shonan Bellmare | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Yokohama FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Blaublitz Akita | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Jubilo Iwata | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | FC Imabari | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Albirex Niigata | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Oita | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Kataller Toyama | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Tochigi City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Tokushima Vortis | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Vegalta Sendai | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Ventforet Kofu | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ventforet Kofu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Sagan Tosu Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 25/07 | Matsumoto Y FC World Club Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 06/06 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 30/05 | Vegalta Sendai Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Parceiro Nagano Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | FC Gifu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 09/05 | Iwaki FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 06/05 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Matsumoto Y FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 29/04 | Omiya Ardija Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Yokohama FC Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 06/06 | Ventforet Kofu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | Kataller Toyama Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | Reilac Shiga Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 17/05 | Oita Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 06/05 | FC Ryukyu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Sagan Tosu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 29/04 | Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Kagoshima United Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ventforet Kofu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Tegevajaro Miyazaki win (37%). Probabilities: Ventforet Kofu 33%, draw 31%, Tegevajaro Miyazaki 37%.
How many goals are expected in Ventforet Kofu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?
The model expects 2.09 goals (Ventforet Kofu 1 · Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1.08), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Ventforet Kofu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.