Football · Japan J2-League · 15/08, 12:00
Prediction: Albirex Niigata vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
Team pages: Albirex Niigata · Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.22Total
Albirex Niigata1.28
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo0.94
1X2
Albirex Niigata
Draw
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Albirex Niigata
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Albirex Niigata
2–4–0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
(6 last)
- Albirex Niigata0-0Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
- Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo0-1Albirex Niigata
- Albirex Niigata1-1Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
- Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo0-1Albirex Niigata
- Albirex Niigata2-2Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
- Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo2-2Albirex Niigata
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Albirex Niigata 1507 · Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1568
| Albirex Niigata | Draw | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 31% | 26% |
| Market | 44% | 28% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.22 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo (rating 1507 vs 1568).
- H2H favours Albirex Niigata: 2-4-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Albirex Niigata | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.9 | 1.9 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6 | 2.2 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 1.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Albirex Niigata 2–4–0 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League | Albirex Niigata | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo |
| 29/06/24 Japan J-League | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Albirex Niigata |
| 13/04/24 Japan J-League | Albirex Niigata | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo |
| 15/07/23 Japan J-League | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Albirex Niigata |
| 04/03/23 Japan J-League | Albirex Niigata | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo |
| 23/09/17 Japan J-League | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Albirex Niigata |
Standings · Japan J2-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fujieda MYFC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Montedio Yamagata | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Sagan Tosu | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Iwaki FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Omiya Ardija | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Shonan Bellmare | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Yokohama FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Blaublitz Akita | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Jubilo Iwata | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | FC Imabari | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Albirex Niigata | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Oita | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Kataller Toyama | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Tochigi City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Tokushima Vortis | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Vegalta Sendai | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Ventforet Kofu | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Albirex Niigata | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo |
|---|---|---|
| Omiya Ardija | 0-1 L | 4-3 W |
| Tokushima Vortis | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Albirex Niigata
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Omiya Ardija Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 26/07 | Montedio Yamagata World Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Montedio Yamagata World Club Friendlies |
0-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 06/06 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 30/05 | Kagoshima United Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | Ehime FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Nara Club Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 06/05 | Tokushima Vortis Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Tokushima Vortis Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 06/06 | Albirex Niigata Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 31/05 | Blaublitz Akita Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 23/05 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Fukushima Utd Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Omiya Ardija Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
3-1 | 4-3 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 06/05 | Parceiro Nagano Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | FC Gifu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 29/04 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Iwaki FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Albirex Niigata vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Albirex Niigata win (44%). Probabilities: Albirex Niigata 44%, draw 30%, Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 27%.
How many goals are expected in Albirex Niigata vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo?
The model expects 2.22 goals (Albirex Niigata 1.28 · Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 0.94), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Albirex Niigata vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.