Football · Japan J2-League · 16/08, 12:00
Prediction: Tokushima Vortis vs Sagan Tosu
Team pages: Tokushima Vortis · Sagan Tosu
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
Tokushima Vortis1.1
Sagan Tosu1.21
1X2
Tokushima Vortis
Draw
Sagan Tosu
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Tokushima Vortis
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Sagan Tosu
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tokushima Vortis
2–1–3
Sagan Tosu
(6 last)
- Tokushima Vortis3-1Sagan Tosu
- Sagan Tosu0-0Tokushima Vortis
- Tokushima Vortis0-1Sagan Tosu
- Tokushima Vortis3-0Sagan Tosu
- Sagan Tosu2-0Tokushima Vortis
- Sagan Tosu3-1Tokushima Vortis
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sagan Tosu (rating 1468 vs 1539).
- H2H favours Sagan Tosu: 3-1-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tokushima Vortis | Sagan Tosu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.9 | 1.6 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.9 | 2.1 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.3 | 1.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tokushima Vortis 2–1–3 Sagan Tosu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League | Tokushima Vortis | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Sagan Tosu |
| 02/11/25 Japan J2-League | Sagan Tosu | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tokushima Vortis |
| 06/05/25 Japan J2-League | Tokushima Vortis | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Sagan Tosu |
| 03/10/21 Japan J-League | Tokushima Vortis | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Sagan Tosu |
| 01/05/21 Japan J-League | Sagan Tosu | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Tokushima Vortis |
| 11/07/18 Japan Cup | Sagan Tosu | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Tokushima Vortis |
Standings · Japan J2-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fujieda MYFC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Montedio Yamagata | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Sagan Tosu | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Iwaki FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Omiya Ardija | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Shonan Bellmare | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Yokohama FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Blaublitz Akita | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Jubilo Iwata | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | FC Imabari | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Albirex Niigata | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Oita | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Kataller Toyama | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Tochigi City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Tokushima Vortis | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Vegalta Sendai | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Ventforet Kofu | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tokushima Vortis
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 07/06 | Iwaki FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Sagan Tosu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | FC Imabari Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Kataller Toyama Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Nara Club Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 06/05 | Albirex Niigata Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | Ehime FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-2 | 0-6 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 29/04 | FC Osaka Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | Kochi United Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
Sagan Tosu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Ventforet Kofu Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 06/06 | Shonan Bellmare Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Tokushima Vortis Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | FC Ryukyu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 16/05 | Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 10/05 | Oita Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 06/05 | Gainare Tottori Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 29/04 | Kagoshima United Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Reilac Shiga Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tokushima Vortis vs Sagan Tosu?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sagan Tosu win (37%). Probabilities: Tokushima Vortis 32%, draw 31%, Sagan Tosu 37%.
How many goals are expected in Tokushima Vortis vs Sagan Tosu?
The model expects 2.32 goals (Tokushima Vortis 1.1 · Sagan Tosu 1.21), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Tokushima Vortis vs Sagan Tosu?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.