Prediction: Cleveland Force vs Steel City
Expected goals: 3.52 (Cleveland Force 0.88 · Steel City 2.64). The model gives 10% home, 16% draw, 74% away. Over 3.25 goals (51%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 0-2.
Recent form leaves Cleveland Force with 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses over 10 games; Steel City has piled up 7-3-0 in the same span. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Cleveland Force won 0 and Steel City 3.
| Cleveland Force | Draw | Steel City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 10% | 16% | 74% |
| Market | 10% | 16% | 74% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Steel City (rating 1428 vs 1594).
- H2H favours Steel City: 3-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cleveland Force | Steel City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 3.4 | 1.8 / 0.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1.5 | 0.7 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/70/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 6.3 | 3 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.3 | 5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cleveland Force 0–0–3 Steel City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07/26 USA USL League Two | Steel City | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Cleveland Force |
| 13/07/25 USA USL League Two | Cleveland Force | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Steel City |
| 06/06/25 USA USL League Two | Steel City | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Cleveland Force |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Great Forest Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steel City | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Buffalo | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 32 | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds II | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 20 |
| 4 | Lorain County Leviathan FC | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 19 | 19 |
| 5 | Akron City | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 13 |
| 6 | Cleveland Force | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 21 | 39 | 9 |
| 7 | Erie Sports Center | 12 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | 48 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cleveland Force | Steel City |
|---|---|---|
| FC Buffalo | 1-7 L | 1-1 D |
| Lorain County Leviathan FC | 0-5 L | 0-0 D |
| Erie Sports Center | 4-3 W | 3-1 W |
| Akron City | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds II | 3-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Steel City (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cleveland Force
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Steel City USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 24/06 | FC Buffalo USA USL League Two |
1-3 | 1-7 | – | – | L |
| 20/06 | Lorain County Leviathan FC USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 0-5 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 17/06 | Erie Sports Center USA USL League Two |
2-2 | 4-3 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | FC Buffalo USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 10/06 | Akron City USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 06/06 | Erie Sports Center USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/06 | Lorain County Leviathan FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds II USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 21/05 | Akron City USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
Steel City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Cleveland Force USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | FC Buffalo USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/06 | Erie Sports Center USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/06 | Akron City USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 13/06 | Erie Sports Center USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/06 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds II USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 06/06 | FC Buffalo USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Akron City USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/05 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds II USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/05 | Lorain County Leviathan FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cleveland Force vs Steel City?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Steel City win (74%). Probabilities: Cleveland Force 10%, draw 16%, Steel City 74%.
How many goals are expected in Cleveland Force vs Steel City?
The model expects 3.52 goals (Cleveland Force 0.88 · Steel City 2.64), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Cleveland Force vs Steel City?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.