Football · USA USL League Two · 18/07, 01:30
Prediction: Flint City Bucks vs FC Buffalo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.03Total
Flint City Bucks2.51
FC Buffalo1.52
1X2
Flint City Bucks
Draw
FC Buffalo
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Flint City Bucks
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
FC Buffalo
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Flint City Bucks 1596 · FC Buffalo 1554
| Flint City Bucks | Draw | FC Buffalo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 20% | 22% |
| Market | 58% | 20% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.03 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Flint City Bucks (rating 1596 vs 1554).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Flint City Bucks | FC Buffalo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.3 / 1 | 3 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.3 | 1.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 7.7 | – / – |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | – / – |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Great Lakes Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flint City Bucks | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 13 | 31 |
| 2 | Oakland County FC | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 20 |
| 3 | Midwest United | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 16 | 19 |
| 4 | Kalamazoo FC | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 22 | 19 |
| 5 | AFC Ann Arbor | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 27 | 19 |
| 6 | Union FC Macomb | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 37 | 8 |
| 7 | Lansing City Football | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 13 | 44 | 6 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Flint City Bucks
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Union FC Macomb USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 06/07 | Lansing City Football USA USL League Two |
3-1 | 6-2 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Kalamazoo FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/07 | Midwest United USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/06 | Oakland County FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/06 | AFC Ann Arbor USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Oakland County FC USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/06 | AFC Ann Arbor USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/06 | Midwest United USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Kalamazoo FC USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 7-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
FC Buffalo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Akron City USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Lorain County Leviathan FC USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Steel City USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 24/06 | Cleveland Force USA USL League Two |
3-1 | 7-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/06 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds II USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Cleveland Force USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 10/06 | Erie Sports Center USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/06 | Steel City USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/06 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds II USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 27/05 | Erie Sports Center USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Flint City Bucks vs FC Buffalo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Flint City Bucks win (58%). Probabilities: Flint City Bucks 58%, draw 20%, FC Buffalo 22%.
How many goals are expected in Flint City Bucks vs FC Buffalo?
The model expects 4.03 goals (Flint City Bucks 2.51 · FC Buffalo 1.52), with a 54% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Flint City Bucks vs FC Buffalo?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.