Football · USA USL League Two · 18/07, 01:00
Prediction: Vermont Green vs Ironbound
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.99Total
Vermont Green2.35
Ironbound1.64
1X2
Vermont Green
Draw
Ironbound
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Vermont Green
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Ironbound
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vermont Green (rating 1623 vs 1572).
- High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vermont Green | Ironbound | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 4.7 / 1 | 2.2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2.3 / 0.5 | 1.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/20/0% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 7 | 3.4 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.5 | 3.8 / 0 |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Northeast Division
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vermont Green | 14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 64 | 12 | 40 |
| 2 | New England FC | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 21 | 36 |
| 3 | Western Mass Pioneers | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 27 |
| 4 | Black Rock FC | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 21 |
| 5 | Albany Rush | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 35 | 19 |
| 6 | Boston Bolts | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | 15 |
| 7 | Seacoast United Phantoms | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 29 | 14 |
| 8 | Connecticut Rush | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 14 |
| 9 | AC Connecticut | 14 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 29 | 9 |
| 10 | Boston City FC | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 50 | 4 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vermont Green
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Western Mass Pioneers USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 4-2 | 6 | 10 | W |
| 08/07 | Connecticut Rush USA USL League Two |
3-1 | 6-2 | – | – | W |
| 01/07 | New England FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 27/06 | Black Rock FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 24/06 | Boston City FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/06 | Boston City FC USA USL League Two |
4-1 | 10-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/06 | Seacoast United Phantoms USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 14/06 | New England FC USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/06 | AC Connecticut USA USL League Two |
3-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/06 | Boston Bolts USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
Ironbound
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | New England FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 12/07 | Manhattan SC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 09/07 | Cedar Stars Rush USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 06/07 | Staten Island ASC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | New Jersey Copa USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 25/06 | FC Motown STA USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/06 | Westchester Flames USA USL League Two |
3-2 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 14/06 | Cedar Stars Rush USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/06 | New Jersey Copa USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Long Island Rough Riders USA USL League Two |
2-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vermont Green vs Ironbound?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Vermont Green win (53%). Probabilities: Vermont Green 53%, draw 21%, Ironbound 26%.
How many goals are expected in Vermont Green vs Ironbound?
The model expects 3.99 goals (Vermont Green 2.35 · Ironbound 1.64), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Vermont Green vs Ironbound?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.