Football · USA USL League Two · 18/07, 01:30
Prediction: Lionsbridge FC vs Asheville City SC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.13Total
Lionsbridge FC1.92
Asheville City SC1.21
1X2
Lionsbridge FC
Draw
Asheville City SC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Lionsbridge FC
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Asheville City SC
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lionsbridge FC 1598 · Asheville City SC 1588
| Lionsbridge FC | Draw | Asheville City SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 24% | 23% |
| Market | 54% | 22% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.13 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lionsbridge FC | Asheville City SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.6 / 1 | 1.8 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2.1 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 90/10/0% | 30/70/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 7 | 1.5 / 2.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0 | 3 / 0 |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, South Atlantic Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence II | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 9 | 35 |
| 2 | Asheville City SC | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 8 | 29 |
| 3 | Appalachian FC | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 13 | 28 |
| 4 | Hickory FC | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | Charlotte Eagles | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 24 | 18 |
| 6 | SC United Bantams | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 27 | 18 |
| 7 | Salem City FC | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 29 | 17 |
| 8 | North Carolina FC II | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 30 | 17 |
| 9 | Tobacco Road | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 34 | 12 |
| 10 | Wake FC | 14 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 9 |
| 11 | Port City FC | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 34 | 7 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lionsbridge FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Charlottesville Blues USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/07 | Northern Virginia FC USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Hill City FC USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/06 | Charlottesville Blues USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | Virginia Beach Utd USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/06 | Patuxent Football Athletics USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | Northern Virginia FC USA USL League Two |
2-2 | 5-4 | – | – | W |
| 08/06 | Loudoun United FC II USA USL League Two |
3-1 | 4-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 04/06 | Annapolis Blues USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Christos FC USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
Asheville City SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Virginia Beach Utd USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/07 | Hickory FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 06/07 | North Carolina FC II USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/07 | SC United Bantams USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/06 | Charlotte Independence II USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Charlotte Eagles USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/06 | Salem City FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 20/06 | Tobacco Road USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 14/06 | Appalachian FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 10/06 | Charlotte Eagles USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lionsbridge FC vs Asheville City SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lionsbridge FC win (53%). Probabilities: Lionsbridge FC 53%, draw 23%, Asheville City SC 23%.
How many goals are expected in Lionsbridge FC vs Asheville City SC?
The model expects 3.13 goals (Lionsbridge FC 1.92 · Asheville City SC 1.21), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Lionsbridge FC vs Asheville City SC?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.