Football · USA USL League Two · 09/07, 01:00

Prediction: Ocean City Nor'easters vs LVU Rush

Expected goals: 3.84 (Ocean City Nor'easters 2.56 · LVU Rush 1.27). The model gives 65% home, 18% draw, 17% away. Under 4 goals (55%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 2-1.

Over its last 10 matches, Ocean City Nor'easters sits at 10-0-0 (W-D-L), while LVU Rush arrives on a 8-0-2 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 5 wins for Ocean City Nor'easters and 1 for LVU Rush.

65%1
65% 18% 17%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ocean City Nor'easters 1645 · LVU Rush 1571
Ocean City Nor'eastersDrawLVU Rush
Our model64%19%17%
Market65%18%17%
Estimated total (ours) 3.84 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.84Ocean City Nor'easters 2.56 · LVU Rush 1.27
Over / Under 4Under 4 · 55%
BTTSYes · 59%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ocean City Nor'easters (rating 1645 vs 1571).
  • H2H favours Ocean City Nor'easters: 5-0-1.
  • High corners: 12 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Ocean City Nor'eastersLVU Rush
Goals for / against (FT)2.9 / 0.42.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)1.6 / 0.20.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)90/10/0%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)3.3 / 6.51.5 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.5 / 0.53.5 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ocean City Nor'easters 501 LVU Rush

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/07/26
USA USL League Two
LVU Rush1-3
HT 0-1
Ocean City Nor'easters
15/06/25
USA USL League Two
Ocean City Nor'easters2-0
HT 1-0
LVU Rush
29/05/25
USA USL League Two
LVU Rush3-0
HT 1-0
Ocean City Nor'easters
22/06/24
USA USL League Two
Ocean City Nor'easters3-0
HT 2-0
LVU Rush
02/06/24
USA USL League Two
LVU Rush0-2
HT 0-2
Ocean City Nor'easters
10/07/23
USA USL League Two
Ocean City Nor'easters2-0
HT 2-0
LVU Rush

Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Mid Atlantic Division

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Ocean City Nor'easters 121200 37536
2 LVU Rush 121002 291630
3 Reading United 12525 252117
4 West Chester United 11425 161814
5 Real Central NJ 12435 202215
6 Delaware FC 13436 252315
7 Philadelphia Lone Star FC 12417 233113
8 PA Classics 13337 223612
9 Eagle FC 11029 6312

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentOcean City Nor'eastersLVU Rush
Philadelphia Lone Star FC 4-0 W 3-0 W
Eagle FC 3-0 W 3-1 W
West Chester United 1-0 W 3-2 W
Reading United 3-0 W 3-1 W
Real Central NJ 4-1 W 2-1 W
PA Classics 5-0 W 4-2 W
Record vs common 6 W 0 D 0 L 6 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Ocean City Nor'easters (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ocean City Nor'easters

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/07 LVU Rush
USA USL League Two
1-0 3-1 W
28/06 Philadelphia Lone Star FC
USA USL League Two
1-0 4-0 93 W
27/06 Eagle FC
USA USL League Two
1-0 3-0 W
24/06 West Chester United
USA USL League Two
0-0 1-0 W
21/06 Reading United
USA USL League Two
3-0 3-0 W
19/06 Real Central NJ
USA USL League Two
2-0 4-1 52 W
14/06 Delaware FC
USA USL League Two
3-2 3-2 71 W
11/06 Reading United
USA USL League Two
1-0 2-0 52 W
07/06 PA Classics
USA USL League Two
3-0 5-0 W
04/06 Real Central NJ
USA USL League Two
1-0 1-0 W

LVU Rush

WWWLWWWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/07 Ocean City Nor'easters
USA USL League Two
0-1 1-3 L
29/06 West Chester United
USA USL League Two
2-1 3-2 62 W
25/06 Real Central NJ
USA USL League Two
0-1 2-1 W
17/06 Eagle FC
USA USL League Two
2-0 3-1 W
14/06 PA Classics
USA USL League Two
1-2 4-2 W
10/06 Philadelphia Lone Star FC
USA USL League Two
2-0 3-0 W
06/06 Philadelphia Lone Star FC
USA USL League Two
1-1 1-4 55 L
31/05 Real Central NJ
USA USL League Two
0-0 1-0 W
27/05 Eagle FC
USA USL League Two
0-0 3-0 W
24/05 Reading United
USA USL League Two
0-1 3-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ocean City Nor'easters vs LVU Rush?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ocean City Nor'easters win (65%). Probabilities: Ocean City Nor'easters 65%, draw 18%, LVU Rush 17%.

How many goals are expected in Ocean City Nor'easters vs LVU Rush?

The model expects 3.84 goals (Ocean City Nor'easters 2.56 · LVU Rush 1.27), with a 55% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Ocean City Nor'easters vs LVU Rush?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.