Prediction: Little Rock Rangers vs Memphis FC
Expected goals: 3.11 (Little Rock Rangers 2.22 · Memphis FC 0.89). The model gives 67% home, 20% draw, 13% away. Under 3.25 goals (53%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 2-0.
On recent form, Little Rock Rangers is 9-1-0 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Memphis FC 2-3-5 over its own. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 1 wins for Little Rock Rangers and 0 for Memphis FC.
| Little Rock Rangers | Draw | Memphis FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 21% | 13% |
| Market | 67% | 19% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Little Rock Rangers (rating 1611 vs 1461).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Little Rock Rangers | Memphis FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.4 | 1.4 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.5 | – / – |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | – / – |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Little Rock Rangers 1–0–0 Memphis FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/26 USA USL League Two | Memphis FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Little Rock Rangers |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Mid South Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Little Rock Rangers | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 4 | 28 |
| 2 | Mississippi Brilla | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 15 | 18 |
| 3 | Louisiana Krewe FC | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 19 |
| 4 | Red River FC | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 15 |
| 5 | Hattiesburg FC | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 20 | 12 |
| 6 | Memphis FC | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 21 | 9 |
| 7 | Jackson Boom | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 28 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Little Rock Rangers | Memphis FC |
|---|---|---|
| Louisiana Krewe FC | 2-0 W | 2-5 L |
| Red River FC | 2-1 W | 1-4 L |
| Mississippi Brilla | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Jackson Boom | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Hattiesburg FC | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Little Rock Rangers (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Little Rock Rangers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Louisiana Krewe FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/07 | Red River FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/06 | Red River FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/06 | Mississippi Brilla USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 18/06 | Memphis FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | Louisiana Krewe FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/06 | Jackson Boom USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/06 | Jackson Boom USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Hattiesburg FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Mississippi Brilla USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Memphis FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Mississippi Brilla USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 25/06 | Mississippi Brilla USA USL League Two |
2-2 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 21/06 | Hattiesburg FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/06 | Little Rock Rangers USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 14/06 | Red River FC USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 07/06 | Hattiesburg FC USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 04/06 | Jackson Boom USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Red River FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 29/05 | Louisiana Krewe FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-5 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Louisiana Krewe FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Little Rock Rangers vs Memphis FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Little Rock Rangers win (67%). Probabilities: Little Rock Rangers 67%, draw 20%, Memphis FC 13%.
How many goals are expected in Little Rock Rangers vs Memphis FC?
The model expects 3.11 goals (Little Rock Rangers 2.22 · Memphis FC 0.89), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Little Rock Rangers vs Memphis FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.