Prediction: Swarm FC vs East Atlanta FC
Expected goals: 3.87 (Swarm FC 2.61 · East Atlanta FC 1.25). The model gives 66% home, 19% draw, 16% away. Over 3.5 goals (52%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 2-1.
Recent form leaves Swarm FC with 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses over 10 games; East Atlanta FC has piled up 2-3-5 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Swarm FC won 2 and East Atlanta FC 3, with 1 draw.
| Swarm FC | Draw | East Atlanta FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 18% | 16% |
| Market | 66% | 19% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Swarm FC (rating 1587 vs 1465).
- H2H favours East Atlanta FC: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Swarm FC | East Atlanta FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 0.8 | 1.5 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 6.7 | 2 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.5 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Swarm FC 2–1–3 East Atlanta FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/26 USA USL League Two | East Atlanta FC | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Swarm FC |
| 26/05/25 USA USL League Two | East Atlanta FC | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Swarm FC |
| 07/07/24 USA USL League Two | East Atlanta FC | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Swarm FC |
| 03/07/24 USA USL League Two | Swarm FC | 2-2 HT 0-1 | East Atlanta FC |
| 09/07/23 USA USL League Two | East Atlanta FC | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Swarm FC |
| 28/06/23 USA USL League Two | Swarm FC | 0-3 HT 0-1 | East Atlanta FC |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, South Central Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dothan United | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 23 |
| 2 | Swarm FC | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 27 | 8 | 22 |
| 3 | Columbus United FC | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 19 | 12 |
| 4 | Montgomery United FC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 19 | 10 |
| 5 | East Atlanta FC | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | 9 |
| 6 | Apotheos | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 9 |
| 7 | Birmingham Legion FC Futures | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 7 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Swarm FC | East Atlanta FC |
|---|---|---|
| Dothan United | 3-1 W | 1-4 L |
| Montgomery United FC | 4-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Apotheos | 3-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Columbus United FC | 6-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Birmingham Legion FC Futures | 3-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Swarm FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Swarm FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Dothan United USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 24/06 | Montgomery United FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | East Atlanta FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/06 | Apotheos USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | Montgomery United FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 8 | D |
| 10/06 | Columbus United FC USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 6-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 07/06 | Birmingham Legion FC Futures USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 04/06 | Dothan United USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | Columbus United FC USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 22/05 | Apotheos USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
East Atlanta FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Birmingham Legion FC Futures USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 4-1 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 03/07 | Apotheos USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | Swarm FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 18/06 | Montgomery United FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/06 | Dothan United USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 07/06 | Apotheos USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Montgomery United FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | Dothan United USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 21/05 | Columbus United FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | Birmingham Legion FC Futures USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Swarm FC vs East Atlanta FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Swarm FC win (66%). Probabilities: Swarm FC 66%, draw 19%, East Atlanta FC 16%.
How many goals are expected in Swarm FC vs East Atlanta FC?
The model expects 3.87 goals (Swarm FC 2.61 · East Atlanta FC 1.25), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Swarm FC vs East Atlanta FC?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.