Football · USA USL League Two · 09/07, 01:30

Prediction: Virginia Beach Utd vs Annapolis Blues

Expected goals: 3.56 (Virginia Beach Utd 1.85 · Annapolis Blues 1.71). The model gives 41% home, 24% draw, 35% away. Over 3.25 goals (52%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Over its last 10 matches, Virginia Beach Utd sits at 7-0-3 (W-D-L), while Annapolis Blues arrives on a 4-1-5 run. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Virginia Beach Utd and 1 for Annapolis Blues.

41%1
41% 24% 35%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Virginia Beach Utd 1545 · Annapolis Blues 1485
Virginia Beach UtdDrawAnnapolis Blues
Our model41%24%35%
Market41%24%35%
Estimated total (ours) 3.56 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.56Virginia Beach Utd 1.85 · Annapolis Blues 1.71
Over / Under 3.25Over 3.25 · 52%
BTTSYes · 60%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Virginia Beach Utd (rating 1545 vs 1485).
  • H2H favours Virginia Beach Utd: 2-0-1.
  • High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Virginia Beach UtdAnnapolis Blues
Goals for / against (FT)2.4 / 1.32.6 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.50.9 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 2.83.4 / 8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 03.9 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Virginia Beach Utd 201 Annapolis Blues

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
31/05/26
USA USL League Two
Annapolis Blues0-2
HT 0-1
Virginia Beach Utd
19/06/25
USA USL League Two
Annapolis Blues0-2
HT 0-1
Virginia Beach Utd
04/06/25
USA USL League Two
Virginia Beach Utd1-3
HT 1-2
Annapolis Blues

Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Chesapeake Division

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Lionsbridge FC 121011 421031
2 Virginia Beach Utd 12723 271623
3 Bethesda SC 11623 252220
4 Charlottesville Blues 13724 231323
5 Christos FC 12624 233120
6 Annapolis Blues 12615 311819
7 Northern Virginia FC 12534 372118
8 Loudoun United FC II 11515 272516
9 Hill City FC 13607 302718
10 Virginia Marauders 121011 5393
11 Patuxent Football Athletics 120012 3510

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentVirginia Beach UtdAnnapolis Blues
Loudoun United FC II 1-2 L 1-2 L
Hill City FC 2-1 W 5-2 W
Lionsbridge FC 0-2 L 0-2 L
Bethesda SC 2-3 L 3-3 D
Virginia Marauders 3-1 W 4-1 W
Christos FC 4-0 W 6-2 W
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 3 L 3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Annapolis Blues (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Virginia Beach Utd

WWWWWWLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/07 Loudoun United FC II
USA USL League Two
0-0 1-2 36 L
28/06 Hill City FC
USA USL League Two
1-0 2-1 W
21/06 Lionsbridge FC
USA USL League Two
0-1 0-2 L
18/06 Bethesda SC
USA USL League Two
0-1 2-3 L
14/06 Virginia Marauders
USA USL League Two
0-0 3-1 W
11/06 Hill City FC
USA USL League Two
4-2 5-3 25 W
07/06 Bethesda SC
USA USL League Two
1-1 3-1 W
31/05 Annapolis Blues
USA USL League Two
1-0 2-0 35 W
24/05 Charlottesville Blues
USA USL League Two
0-0 2-0 W
20/05 Christos FC
USA USL League Two
3-0 4-0 32 W

Annapolis Blues

LWLLWLLDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/07 Virginia Marauders
USA USL League Two
0-1 4-1 184 W
28/06 Christos FC
USA USL League Two
1-2 6-2 85 W
25/06 Bethesda SC
USA USL League Two
1-1 3-3 116 D
24/06 Santos Laguna
America Friendlies
0-1 0-2 14 L
22/06 Northern Virginia FC
USA USL League Two
0-1 0-3 64 L
18/06 Hill City FC
USA USL League Two
3-2 5-2 82 W
16/06 Christos FC
USA USL League Two
0-1 0-1 63 L
11/06 Loudoun United FC II
USA USL League Two
0-0 1-2 83 L
07/06 Patuxent Football Athletics
USA USL League Two
4-0 7-0 94 W
04/06 Lionsbridge FC
USA USL League Two
0-1 0-2 56 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Virginia Beach Utd vs Annapolis Blues?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Virginia Beach Utd win (41%). Probabilities: Virginia Beach Utd 41%, draw 24%, Annapolis Blues 35%.

How many goals are expected in Virginia Beach Utd vs Annapolis Blues?

The model expects 3.56 goals (Virginia Beach Utd 1.85 · Annapolis Blues 1.71), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Virginia Beach Utd vs Annapolis Blues?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.