Football · USA USL League Two · 09/07, 02:00

Prediction: Davis Legacy vs San Francisco City FC

Expected goals: 4.16 (Davis Legacy 1.38 · San Francisco City FC 2.77). The model gives 16% home, 18% draw, 66% away. Under 4 goals (52%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 1-2.

Recent form leaves Davis Legacy with 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses over 10 games; San Francisco City FC has piled up 9-0-1 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Davis Legacy and 4 for San Francisco City FC, with 1 draw.

66%2
16% 18% 66%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Davis Legacy 1443 · San Francisco City FC 1605
Davis LegacyDrawSan Francisco City FC
Our model16%18%66%
Market16%18%66%
Estimated total (ours) 4.16 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals4.16Davis Legacy 1.38 · San Francisco City FC 2.77
Over / Under 4Under 4 · 52%
BTTSYes · 60%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Francisco City FC (rating 1443 vs 1605).
  • H2H favours San Francisco City FC: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Davis LegacySan Francisco City FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 2.53.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 1.41.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/30/60%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)3.3 / 6.91.3 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.14 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · Davis Legacy 114 San Francisco City FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/05/26
USA USL League Two
San Francisco City FC3-0
HT 2-0
Davis Legacy
23/06/25
USA USL League Two
San Francisco City FC2-0
HT 0-0
Davis Legacy
27/06/24
USA USL League Two
Davis Legacy2-2
HT 0-1
San Francisco City FC
01/06/24
USA USL League Two
San Francisco City FC1-0
HT 0-0
Davis Legacy
27/06/23
USA USL League Two
Davis Legacy2-1
HT 0-1
San Francisco City FC
19/06/23
USA USL League Two
San Francisco City FC2-0
HT 1-0
Davis Legacy

Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Norcal Division

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 San Francisco City FC 121011 391531
2 Project 51O 12912 331628
3 Almaden SC 12723 241223
4 San Francisco Glens SC 12525 131517
5 Academica SC 12336 243112
6 Davis Legacy 12237 18309
7 Marin FC Legends 12237 23369
8 San Juan FC 12138 13326

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDavis LegacySan Francisco City FC
Project 51O 1-6 L 2-4 L
Academica SC 1-4 L 5-1 W
San Juan FC 2-2 D 6-2 W
Marin FC Legends 3-1 W 5-0 W
San Francisco Glens SC 1-2 L 2-0 W
Almaden SC 2-2 D 1-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 3 L 5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: San Francisco City FC (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Davis Legacy

LDWLLWLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Project 51O
USA USL League Two
0-2 1-6 10 L
02/07 Academica SC
USA USL League Two
1-3 1-4 64 L
28/06 San Juan FC
USA USL League Two
1-1 2-2 D
25/06 Project 51O
USA USL League Two
1-1 1-2 L
18/06 Marin FC Legends
USA USL League Two
0-1 3-1 W
04/06 San Francisco Glens SC
USA USL League Two
0-0 1-2 64 L
27/05 San Francisco Glens SC
USA USL League Two
0-1 0-1 54 L
24/05 Marin FC Legends
USA USL League Two
2-1 4-2 53 W
23/05 Almaden SC
USA USL League Two
0-2 2-2 147 D
18/05 San Francisco City FC
USA USL League Two
0-2 0-3 115 L

San Francisco City FC

WWWWWWWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/07 Academica SC
USA USL League Two
1-1 5-1 W
01/07 Project 51O
USA USL League Two
1-3 2-4 34 L
28/06 San Francisco Glens SC
USA USL League Two
0-0 2-0 W
25/06 Academica SC
USA USL League Two
2-2 3-2 W
19/06 San Juan FC
USA USL League Two
3-1 6-2 W
11/06 Marin FC Legends
USA USL League Two
5-0 5-0 W
08/06 San Francisco Glens SC
USA USL League Two
0-0 2-0 27 W
04/06 Almaden SC
USA USL League Two
0-0 1-0 52 W
18/05 Davis Legacy
USA USL League Two
2-0 3-0 15 W
10/05 Almaden SC
USA USL League Two
1-1 3-2 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Davis Legacy vs San Francisco City FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an San Francisco City FC win (66%). Probabilities: Davis Legacy 16%, draw 18%, San Francisco City FC 66%.

How many goals are expected in Davis Legacy vs San Francisco City FC?

The model expects 4.16 goals (Davis Legacy 1.38 · San Francisco City FC 2.77), with a 52% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Davis Legacy vs San Francisco City FC?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.