Prediction: City SC San Diego vs AMSG FC
Expected goals: 4.02 (City SC San Diego 2.41 · AMSG FC 1.61). The model gives 55% home, 21% draw, 24% away. Over 3.5 goals (52%) and both teams to score (61%). Most likely score: 2-1.
Over its last 10 matches, City SC San Diego sits at 4-0-6 (W-D-L), while AMSG FC arrives on a 0-1-9 run. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, City SC San Diego won 1 and AMSG FC 1, with 1 draw.
| City SC San Diego | Draw | AMSG FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 21% | 25% |
| Market | 54% | 21% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours City SC San Diego (rating 1473 vs 1386).
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| City SC San Diego | AMSG FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 2.5 | 1 / 3.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 11/33/56% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.7 | 3 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.3 | 6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · City SC San Diego 1–1–1 AMSG FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06/26 USA USL League Two | AMSG FC | 2-4 HT 1-1 | City SC San Diego |
| 07/07/25 USA USL League Two | City SC San Diego | 0-1 HT 0-0 | AMSG FC |
| 25/05/25 USA USL League Two | AMSG FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | City SC San Diego |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Southwest Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ventura County Fusion | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 6 | 24 |
| 2 | Redlands FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 21 |
| 3 | FC Tucson | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | Capo FC II | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 18 | 14 |
| 5 | Stars FC | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 15 |
| 6 | City SC San Diego | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 27 | 12 |
| 7 | Southern California Eagles | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 8 |
| 8 | AMSG FC | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 33 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | City SC San Diego | AMSG FC |
|---|---|---|
| Redlands FC | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| FC Tucson | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Stars FC | 2-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Capo FC II | 5-2 W | 1-5 L |
| Ventura County Fusion | 1-3 L | 0-6 L |
| Southern California Eagles | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 5 L | 0 W 1 D 5 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
City SC San Diego
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Redlands FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | FC Tucson USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 25/06 | Stars FC USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 22/06 | AMSG FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 18/06 | Capo FC II USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 15/06 | Ventura County Fusion USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 11/06 | Stars FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 12 | W |
| 07/06 | FC Tucson USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Redlands FC USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 20/05 | Southern California Eagles USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
AMSG FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Ventura County Fusion USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 0-6 | – | – | L |
| 25/06 | Capo FC II USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 22/06 | City SC San Diego USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 18/06 | Ventura County Fusion USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 14/06 | FC Tucson USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 08/06 | Stars FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | Redlands FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | Capo FC II USA USL League Two |
2-3 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 28/05 | Stars FC USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Southern California Eagles USA USL League Two |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in City SC San Diego vs AMSG FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a City SC San Diego win (55%). Probabilities: City SC San Diego 55%, draw 21%, AMSG FC 24%.
How many goals are expected in City SC San Diego vs AMSG FC?
The model expects 4.02 goals (City SC San Diego 2.41 · AMSG FC 1.61), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in City SC San Diego vs AMSG FC?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.