Prediction: Bethesda SC vs Virginia Marauders
Expected goals: 3.84 (Bethesda SC 2.92 · Virginia Marauders 0.92). The model gives 80% home, 13% draw, 8% away. Over 3.5 goals (53%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 2-0.
On recent form, Bethesda SC is 5-2-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Virginia Marauders 1-0-9 over its own. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 1 wins for Bethesda SC and 0 for Virginia Marauders.
| Bethesda SC | Draw | Virginia Marauders | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 14% | 8% |
| Market | 82% | 11% | 7% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bethesda SC (rating 1532 vs 1378).
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bethesda SC | Virginia Marauders | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.9 | 0.5 / 3.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.8 | 0.2 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3 | 0.4 / 1.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.3 | 3.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bethesda SC 1–0–0 Virginia Marauders
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/26 USA USL League Two | Virginia Marauders | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Bethesda SC |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Chesapeake Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lionsbridge FC | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 42 | 10 | 31 |
| 2 | Virginia Beach Utd | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 23 |
| 3 | Bethesda SC | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 22 | 20 |
| 4 | Charlottesville Blues | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 23 |
| 5 | Christos FC | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 31 | 20 |
| 6 | Annapolis Blues | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 31 | 18 | 19 |
| 7 | Northern Virginia FC | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 37 | 21 | 18 |
| 8 | Loudoun United FC II | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 25 | 16 |
| 9 | Hill City FC | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 27 | 18 |
| 10 | Virginia Marauders | 12 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 39 | 3 |
| 11 | Patuxent Football Athletics | 12 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 51 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bethesda SC | Virginia Marauders |
|---|---|---|
| Charlottesville Blues | 3-2 W | 0-4 L |
| Patuxent Football Athletics | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Annapolis Blues | 3-3 D | 1-4 L |
| Loudoun United FC II | 2-3 L | 0-4 L |
| Virginia Beach Utd | 3-2 W | 1-3 L |
| Christos FC | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| Hill City FC | 0-3 L | 1-5 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Bethesda SC (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bethesda SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Virginia Marauders USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 02/07 | Charlottesville Blues USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 28/06 | Patuxent Football Athletics USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/06 | Annapolis Blues USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 20/06 | Loudoun United FC II USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 18/06 | Virginia Beach Utd USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | Loudoun United FC II USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/06 | Christos FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 07/06 | Virginia Beach Utd USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/06 | Hill City FC USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
Virginia Marauders
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Bethesda SC USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 0-4 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 01/07 | Annapolis Blues USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 28/06 | Loudoun United FC II USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 21/06 | Charlottesville Blues USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 0-4 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 18/06 | Charlottesville Blues USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 14/06 | Virginia Beach Utd USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/06 | Patuxent Football Athletics USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/06 | Christos FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 04/06 | Loudoun United FC II USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 01/06 | Hill City FC USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bethesda SC vs Virginia Marauders?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bethesda SC win (80%). Probabilities: Bethesda SC 80%, draw 13%, Virginia Marauders 8%.
How many goals are expected in Bethesda SC vs Virginia Marauders?
The model expects 3.84 goals (Bethesda SC 2.92 · Virginia Marauders 0.92), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Bethesda SC vs Virginia Marauders?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.