Football · USA USL League Two · 09/07, 01:00

Prediction: Wake FC vs Port City FC

Expected goals: 3.29 (Wake FC 1.66 · Port City FC 1.63). The model gives 39% home, 24% draw, 37% away. Over 3.25 goals (50%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, Wake FC is 2-0-8 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Port City FC 1-1-8 over its own. In their only recent head-to-head meeting, Wake FC won 0 and Port City FC 1.

39%1
39% 24% 37%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wake FC 1431 · Port City FC 1401
Wake FCDrawPort City FC
Our model38%25%37%
Market39%24%37%
Estimated total (ours) 3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.29Wake FC 1.66 · Port City FC 1.63
Over / Under 3.25Over 3.25 · 50%
BTTSYes · 58%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Wake FCPort City FC
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 2.60.8 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.90.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 33 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 00 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Wake FC 001 Port City FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/05/26
USA USL League Two
Port City FC2-1
HT 0-1
Wake FC

Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, South Atlantic Division

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Charlotte Independence II 12921 25729
2 Asheville City SC 13841 24828
3 Hickory FC 13904 281527
4 Appalachian FC 13742 291325
5 North Carolina FC II 12525 192217
6 SC United Bantams 11434 202115
7 Charlotte Eagles 12435 161915
8 Salem City FC 12426 222614
9 Tobacco Road 12237 21309
10 Wake FC 122010 13376
11 Port City FC 121110 10294

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentWake FCPort City FC
Tobacco Road 3-2 W 1-4 L
Charlotte Independence II 0-4 L 1-4 L
Hickory FC 1-2 L 1-2 L
North Carolina FC II 1-2 L 1-1 D
Asheville City SC 0-2 L 0-3 L
SC United Bantams 1-4 L 1-2 L
Appalachian FC 2-1 W 0-3 L
Salem City FC 0-4 L 1-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 6 L 0 W 1 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Port City FC (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wake FC

LLWLLLLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Tobacco Road
USA USL League Two
1-1 3-2 W
23/06 Charlotte Independence II
USA USL League Two
0-2 0-4 L
21/06 Hickory FC
USA USL League Two
0-2 1-2 L
18/06 North Carolina FC II
USA USL League Two
0-0 1-2 L
11/06 North Carolina FC II
USA USL League Two
1-1 1-3 L
08/06 Asheville City SC
USA USL League Two
0-0 0-2 64 L
04/06 SC United Bantams
USA USL League Two
0-2 1-4 03 L
31/05 Appalachian FC
USA USL League Two
0-1 2-1 W
28/05 Port City FC
USA USL League Two
1-0 1-2 L
21/05 Salem City FC
USA USL League Two
0-0 0-4 L

Port City FC

WLLLLLDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/07 Salem City FC
USA USL League Two
1-0 1-2 L
28/06 Appalachian FC
USA USL League Two
0-2 0-3 L
24/06 SC United Bantams
USA USL League Two
1-1 1-2 L
21/06 North Carolina FC II
USA USL League Two
0-1 1-1 50 D
18/06 Hickory FC
USA USL League Two
1-0 1-2 L
14/06 Tobacco Road
USA USL League Two
0-1 1-4 L
11/06 Charlotte Independence II
USA USL League Two
1-3 1-4 L
07/06 SC United Bantams
USA USL League Two
0-1 0-3 L
31/05 Asheville City SC
USA USL League Two
0-0 0-3 L
28/05 Wake FC
USA USL League Two
0-1 2-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wake FC vs Port City FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wake FC win (39%). Probabilities: Wake FC 39%, draw 24%, Port City FC 37%.

How many goals are expected in Wake FC vs Port City FC?

The model expects 3.29 goals (Wake FC 1.66 · Port City FC 1.63), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Wake FC vs Port City FC?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.