Prediction: Apotheos vs Dothan United
Expected goals: 3.23 (Apotheos 1.13 · Dothan United 2.1). The model gives 19% home, 21% draw, 59% away. Under 3.25 goals (53%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Apotheos sits at 2-3-5 (W-D-L), while Dothan United arrives on a 7-2-1 run. In their only recent head-to-head meeting, Apotheos won 0 and Dothan United 1.
| Apotheos | Draw | Dothan United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 23% | 59% |
| Market | 20% | 20% | 60% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dothan United (rating 1445 vs 1575).
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Apotheos | Dothan United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.9 | 2.2 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.3 | 1 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0 | 2.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Apotheos 0–0–1 Dothan United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/25 USA USL League Two | Apotheos | 0-5 HT 0-3 | Dothan United |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, South Central Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dothan United | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 23 |
| 2 | Swarm FC | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 27 | 8 | 22 |
| 3 | Columbus United FC | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 19 | 12 |
| 4 | Montgomery United FC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 19 | 10 |
| 5 | East Atlanta FC | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | 9 |
| 6 | Apotheos | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 9 |
| 7 | Birmingham Legion FC Futures | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 7 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Apotheos | Dothan United |
|---|---|---|
| East Atlanta FC | 0-3 L | 4-1 W |
| Montgomery United FC | 1-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Birmingham Legion FC Futures | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Swarm FC | 0-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Columbus United FC | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 4 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Dothan United (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Apotheos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | East Atlanta FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Montgomery United FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 21/06 | Birmingham Legion FC Futures USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/06 | Swarm FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | Birmingham Legion FC Futures USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 07/06 | East Atlanta FC USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Montgomery United FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 22/05 | Swarm FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Columbus United FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | Columbus United FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
Dothan United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Montgomery United FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/06 | Swarm FC USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 21/06 | Columbus United FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 14/06 | East Atlanta FC USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/06 | Birmingham Legion FC Futures USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 04/06 | Swarm FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 31/05 | Columbus United FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/05 | Birmingham Legion FC Futures USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | East Atlanta FC USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Montgomery United FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Apotheos vs Dothan United?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Dothan United win (59%). Probabilities: Apotheos 19%, draw 21%, Dothan United 59%.
How many goals are expected in Apotheos vs Dothan United?
The model expects 3.23 goals (Apotheos 1.13 · Dothan United 2.1), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Apotheos vs Dothan United?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.