Prediction: Dayton Dutch Lions FC vs West Virginia United
Expected goals: 3.24 (Dayton Dutch Lions FC 1.12 · West Virginia United 2.12). The model gives 19% home, 22% draw, 60% away. Over 3.25 goals (50%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Dayton Dutch Lions FC with 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses over 10 games; West Virginia United has piled up 8-1-1 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for Dayton Dutch Lions FC and 3 for West Virginia United.
| Dayton Dutch Lions FC | Draw | West Virginia United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 18% | 22% | 59% |
| Market | 19% | 21% | 60% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours West Virginia United (rating 1483 vs 1579).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dayton Dutch Lions FC | West Virginia United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.6 | 2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3 | – / – |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.5 | – / – |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dayton Dutch Lions FC 3–0–3 West Virginia United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/26 USA USL League Two | West Virginia United | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Dayton Dutch Lions FC |
| 06/07/25 USA USL League Two | West Virginia United | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Dayton Dutch Lions FC |
| 26/06/25 USA USL League Two | Dayton Dutch Lions FC | 2-3 HT 1-3 | West Virginia United |
| 26/06/19 USA USL League Two | West Virginia United | 2-4 HT 1-2 | Dayton Dutch Lions FC |
| 06/06/19 USA USL League Two | Dayton Dutch Lions FC | 2-1 HT 0-0 | West Virginia United |
| 26/05/19 USA USL League Two | Dayton Dutch Lions FC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | West Virginia United |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Valley Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Virginia United | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 25 |
| 2 | Northern Indiana FC | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 18 |
| 3 | Louisville City FC II | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 13 | 19 |
| 4 | Kings Hammer Columbus | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
| 5 | Dayton Dutch Lions FC | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 10 |
| 6 | Toledo Villa FC | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dayton Dutch Lions FC | West Virginia United |
|---|---|---|
| Kings Hammer Columbus | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Toledo Villa FC | 1-0 W | 4-3 W |
| Northern Indiana FC | 4-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Louisville City FC II | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dayton Dutch Lions FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Kings Hammer Columbus USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | West Virginia United USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 24/06 | Toledo Villa FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/06 | Northern Indiana FC USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 18/06 | Louisville City FC II USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 11/06 | Kings Hammer Columbus USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 04/06 | Toledo Villa FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 28/05 | Louisville City FC II USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | Louisville City FC II USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 13/07 | Kings Hammer Columbus USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
West Virginia United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Louisville City FC II USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/07 | Kings Hammer Columbus USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | Dayton Dutch Lions FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/06 | Louisville City FC II USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 21/06 | Toledo Villa FC USA USL League Two |
3-3 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Northern Indiana FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/06 | Kings Hammer Columbus USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Toledo Villa FC USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | Northern Indiana FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/05 | Louisville City FC II USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dayton Dutch Lions FC vs West Virginia United?
According to our model, the most likely result is an West Virginia United win (60%). Probabilities: Dayton Dutch Lions FC 19%, draw 22%, West Virginia United 60%.
How many goals are expected in Dayton Dutch Lions FC vs West Virginia United?
The model expects 3.24 goals (Dayton Dutch Lions FC 1.12 · West Virginia United 2.12), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Dayton Dutch Lions FC vs West Virginia United?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.