Prediction: Cedar Stars Rush vs Ironbound
Expected goals: 3.11 (Cedar Stars Rush 1.19 · Ironbound 1.92). The model gives 23% home, 24% draw, 54% away. Under 3 goals (51%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Cedar Stars Rush with 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Ironbound has piled up 8-2-0 in the same span. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Cedar Stars Rush won 2 and Ironbound 1, with 2 draws.
| Cedar Stars Rush | Draw | Ironbound | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 24% | 53% |
| Market | 23% | 23% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ironbound (rating 1519 vs 1595).
- H2H favours Cedar Stars Rush: 2-2-1.
- High corners: 13.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cedar Stars Rush | Ironbound | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 2.4 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 1.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 70/30/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 7.3 | 4.3 / 6.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.5 | 2.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cedar Stars Rush 2–2–1 Ironbound
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/26 USA USL League Two | Ironbound | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Cedar Stars Rush |
| 19/06/25 USA USL League Two | Ironbound | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Cedar Stars Rush |
| 13/06/24 USA USL League Two | Cedar Stars Rush | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Ironbound |
| 09/07/23 USA USL League Two | Ironbound | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Cedar Stars Rush |
| 29/06/23 USA USL League Two | Cedar Stars Rush | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Ironbound |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Metropolitan Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ironbound | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | FC Motown STA | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 35 | 7 | 25 |
| 3 | Long Island Rough Riders | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 29 | 8 | 24 |
| 4 | Hudson Valley Hammers | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 20 | 17 |
| 5 | Cedar Stars Rush | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 17 |
| 6 | Manhattan SC | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 23 | 12 |
| 7 | New Jersey Copa | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 25 | 7 |
| 8 | Staten Island ASC | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 29 | 7 |
| 9 | Morris Elite | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 32 | 6 |
| 10 | Westchester Flames | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cedar Stars Rush | Ironbound |
|---|---|---|
| Long Island Rough Riders | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Westchester Flames | 1-0 W | 3-3 D |
| Morris Elite | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Staten Island ASC | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| New Jersey Copa | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| FC Motown STA | 3-5 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 4 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Ironbound (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cedar Stars Rush
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Long Island Rough Riders USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 28/06 | Westchester Flames USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 26/06 | Long Island Rough Riders USA USL League Two |
1-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Morris Elite USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | Ironbound USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 11/06 | Westchester Flames USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/06 | Staten Island ASC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/06 | New Jersey Copa USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | FC Motown STA USA USL League Two |
1-3 | 3-5 | – | – | L |
| 21/05 | Manhattan SC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Ironbound
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Staten Island ASC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | New Jersey Copa USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 25/06 | FC Motown STA USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/06 | Westchester Flames USA USL League Two |
3-2 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 14/06 | Cedar Stars Rush USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/06 | New Jersey Copa USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Long Island Rough Riders USA USL League Two |
2-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 28/05 | Hudson Valley Hammers USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 21/05 | Morris Elite USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Staten Island ASC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cedar Stars Rush vs Ironbound?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Ironbound win (54%). Probabilities: Cedar Stars Rush 23%, draw 24%, Ironbound 54%.
How many goals are expected in Cedar Stars Rush vs Ironbound?
The model expects 3.11 goals (Cedar Stars Rush 1.19 · Ironbound 1.92), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Cedar Stars Rush vs Ironbound?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.