Football · Japan J3-League · 09/08, 12:00
Prediction: Tochigi SC vs Zweigen Kanazawa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.34Total
Tochigi SC1.27
Zweigen Kanazawa1.07
1X2
Tochigi SC
Draw
Zweigen Kanazawa
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Tochigi SC
0-6-4 (W-D-L)
Zweigen Kanazawa
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tochigi SC
2–1–3
Zweigen Kanazawa
(6 last)
- Zweigen Kanazawa2-0Tochigi SC
- Tochigi SC0-1Zweigen Kanazawa
- Zweigen Kanazawa0-1Tochigi SC
- Tochigi SC4-0Zweigen Kanazawa
- Zweigen Kanazawa0-0Tochigi SC
- Tochigi SC0-2Zweigen Kanazawa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tochigi SC 1445 · Zweigen Kanazawa 1489
| Tochigi SC | Draw | Zweigen Kanazawa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 31% | 30% |
| Market | 40% | 29% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.34 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zweigen Kanazawa (rating 1445 vs 1489).
- H2H favours Zweigen Kanazawa: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tochigi SC | Zweigen Kanazawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/80/20% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 6.1 | 2.8 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 2.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tochigi SC 2–1–3 Zweigen Kanazawa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/11/25 Japan J3-League | Zweigen Kanazawa | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Tochigi SC |
| 20/04/25 Japan J3-League | Tochigi SC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Zweigen Kanazawa |
| 01/07/23 Japan J2-League | Zweigen Kanazawa | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Tochigi SC |
| 03/05/23 Japan J2-League | Tochigi SC | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Zweigen Kanazawa |
| 23/10/22 Japan J2-League | Zweigen Kanazawa | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tochigi SC |
| 03/04/22 Japan J2-League | Tochigi SC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Zweigen Kanazawa |
Standings · Japan J3-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Parceiro Nagano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | FC Osaka | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 3 | Gainare Tottori | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | Kochi United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Matsumoto Y FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Roasso Kumamoto | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Sagamihara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Ehime FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | FC Gifu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | FC Ryukyu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Fukushima Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Nara Club | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Reilac Shiga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Tochigi SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Zweigen Kanazawa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 | Thespa Gunma | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tochigi SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06 | Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Parceiro Nagano Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Yokohama FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Blaublitz Akita Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 06/05 | Vegalta Sendai Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 29/04 | Shonan Bellmare Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Tochigi City Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Sagamihara Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
Zweigen Kanazawa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Gamba Osaka World Club Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-6 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 07/06 | Thespa Gunma Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Gainare Tottori Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Kochi United Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | FC Osaka Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Albirex Niigata Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 06/05 | Ehime FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 03/05 | Kataller Toyama Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 29/04 | Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Nara Club Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tochigi SC vs Zweigen Kanazawa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tochigi SC win (40%). Probabilities: Tochigi SC 40%, draw 30%, Zweigen Kanazawa 30%.
How many goals are expected in Tochigi SC vs Zweigen Kanazawa?
The model expects 2.34 goals (Tochigi SC 1.27 · Zweigen Kanazawa 1.07), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Tochigi SC vs Zweigen Kanazawa?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.