Football · Japan J3-League · 16/08, 11:00
Prediction: FC Osaka vs Parceiro Nagano
Team pages: FC Osaka · Parceiro Nagano
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.25Total
FC Osaka1.47
Parceiro Nagano0.78
1X2
FC Osaka
Draw
Parceiro Nagano
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
FC Osaka
1-7-2 (W-D-L)
Parceiro Nagano
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Osaka
5–1–0
Parceiro Nagano
(6 last)
- FC Osaka3-0Parceiro Nagano
- Parceiro Nagano0-0FC Osaka
- Parceiro Nagano0-2FC Osaka
- FC Osaka2-1Parceiro Nagano
- Parceiro Nagano0-2FC Osaka
- FC Osaka1-0Parceiro Nagano
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Osaka 1504 · Parceiro Nagano 1458
| FC Osaka | Draw | Parceiro Nagano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 29% | 19% |
| Market | 54% | 26% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Osaka (rating 1504 vs 1458).
- H2H favours FC Osaka: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Osaka | Parceiro Nagano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.1 | 0.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6.1 | 2.2 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Osaka 5–1–0 Parceiro Nagano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/25 Japan J3-League | FC Osaka | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Parceiro Nagano |
| 06/07/25 Japan J3-League | Parceiro Nagano | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Osaka |
| 07/09/24 Japan J3-League | Parceiro Nagano | 0-2 HT 0-2 | FC Osaka |
| 25/02/24 Japan J3-League | FC Osaka | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Parceiro Nagano |
| 22/10/23 Japan J3-League | Parceiro Nagano | 0-2 HT 0-0 | FC Osaka |
| 04/06/23 Japan J3-League | FC Osaka | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Parceiro Nagano |
Standings · Japan J3-League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ehime FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | FC Gifu | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Tochigi SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Parceiro Nagano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Kagoshima United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | FC Osaka | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Gainare Tottori | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Kochi United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Matsumoto Y FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Roasso Kumamoto | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Sagamihara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | FC Ryukyu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Zweigen Kanazawa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Fukushima Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Thespa Gunma | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 | Nara Club | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 | Reilac Shiga | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Osaka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 06/06 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 30/05 | Reilac Shiga Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | FC Imabari Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 06/05 | Nara Club Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Kochi United Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 29/04 | Tokushima Vortis Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Albirex Niigata Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
Parceiro Nagano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 12/07 | Iwaki FC World Club Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 05/06 | Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Tochigi SC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Ventforet Kofu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Omiya Ardija Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | FC Gifu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 06/05 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 29/04 | Fukushima Utd Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Osaka vs Parceiro Nagano?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Osaka win (53%). Probabilities: FC Osaka 53%, draw 28%, Parceiro Nagano 19%.
How many goals are expected in FC Osaka vs Parceiro Nagano?
The model expects 2.25 goals (FC Osaka 1.47 · Parceiro Nagano 0.78), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Osaka vs Parceiro Nagano?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.