Prediction: Matsumoto Y FC vs Reilac Shiga
Team pages: Matsumoto Y FC · Reilac Shiga
| Matsumoto Y FC | Draw | Reilac Shiga | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 28% | 21% |
| Market | 51% | 27% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matsumoto Y FC (rating 1498 vs 1438).
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Matsumoto Y FC | Reilac Shiga | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 0/70/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 7 | 2.1 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 2.1 / 0.1 |
Standings · Japan J3-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ehime FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | FC Gifu | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Tochigi SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Parceiro Nagano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Kagoshima United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | FC Osaka | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Gainare Tottori | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Kochi United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Matsumoto Y FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Roasso Kumamoto | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Sagamihara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | FC Ryukyu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Zweigen Kanazawa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Fukushima Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Thespa Gunma | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 | Nara Club | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 | Reilac Shiga | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matsumoto Y FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Kochi United Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Ventforet Kofu World Club Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 06/06 | Nara Club Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 31/05 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | Fukushima Utd Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | Iwaki FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 06/05 | FC Gifu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Ventforet Kofu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 29/04 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
Reilac Shiga
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | FC Gifu Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | Tochigi City Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | FC Osaka Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 17/05 | Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 13/05 | Gainare Tottori Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Kagoshima United Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 06/05 | Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 03/05 | Roasso Kumamoto Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 29/04 | Gainare Tottori Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matsumoto Y FC vs Reilac Shiga?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Matsumoto Y FC win (51%). Probabilities: Matsumoto Y FC 51%, draw 27%, Reilac Shiga 21%.
How many goals are expected in Matsumoto Y FC vs Reilac Shiga?
The model expects 2.49 goals (Matsumoto Y FC 1.57 · Reilac Shiga 0.93), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Matsumoto Y FC vs Reilac Shiga?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.