Football · Japan J3-League · 08/08, 11:00
Prediction: Sagamihara vs Roasso Kumamoto
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.08Total
Sagamihara1.62
Roasso Kumamoto1.46
1X2
Sagamihara
Draw
Roasso Kumamoto
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sagamihara
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Roasso Kumamoto
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sagamihara
4–1
Roasso Kumamoto
(5 last)
- Sagamihara3-0Roasso Kumamoto
- Sagamihara1-0Roasso Kumamoto
- Roasso Kumamoto2-0Sagamihara
- Sagamihara1-0Roasso Kumamoto
- Roasso Kumamoto2-3Sagamihara
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sagamihara 1545 · Roasso Kumamoto 1511
| Sagamihara | Draw | Roasso Kumamoto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 26% | 33% |
| Market | 40% | 28% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.08 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Sagamihara: 4-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sagamihara | Roasso Kumamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.5 | 1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/10/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.7 | 1.9 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.2 | 1.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sagamihara 4–0–1 Roasso Kumamoto
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League | Sagamihara | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Roasso Kumamoto |
| 25/10/20 Japan J3-League | Sagamihara | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Roasso Kumamoto |
| 12/09/20 Japan J3-League | Roasso Kumamoto | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Sagamihara |
| 24/11/19 Japan J3-League | Sagamihara | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Roasso Kumamoto |
| 07/04/19 Japan J3-League | Roasso Kumamoto | 2-3 HT 1-0 | Sagamihara |
Standings · Japan J3-League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Parceiro Nagano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ehime FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Gifu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Osaka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Ryukyu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Fukushima Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gainare Tottori | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kochi United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Matsumoto Y FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nara Club | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Reilac Shiga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Roasso Kumamoto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sagamihara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Thespa Gunma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tochigi SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Zweigen Kanazawa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sagamihara
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06 | Roasso Kumamoto Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Thespa Gunma Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-2 | 2-7 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 06/05 | Blaublitz Akita Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Yokohama FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
3-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 29/04 | Tochigi City Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | Shonan Bellmare Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 19/04 | Tochigi SC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
Roasso Kumamoto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06 | Sagamihara Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | Ehime FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | Kagoshima United Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | FC Ryukyu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 06/05 | Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Reilac Shiga Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/04 | Oita Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Gainare Tottori Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 19/04 | Sagan Tosu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sagamihara vs Roasso Kumamoto?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sagamihara win (40%). Probabilities: Sagamihara 40%, draw 27%, Roasso Kumamoto 33%.
How many goals are expected in Sagamihara vs Roasso Kumamoto?
The model expects 3.08 goals (Sagamihara 1.62 · Roasso Kumamoto 1.46), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sagamihara vs Roasso Kumamoto?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.